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The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Investigation

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  • Keyra Primus

Abstract

This paper examines the relative effectiveness of the use of indirect and direct monetary policy instruments in Barbados, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago, by estimating a restricted Vector Autoregressive model with Exogenous Variables (VARX). The study assumes that the central bank conducts monetary policy using a Taylor-type rule and it evaluates the effects of a reserve requirement policy. The results show that although a positive shock to the policy interest rate has a direct effect on commercial banks' interest rates, there is a weak transmission to the real variables. Furthermore, an increase in the required reserve ratio is successful in reducing private sector credit and excess reserves, while at the same time alleviating pressures on the exchange rate. The findings therefore indicate that central banks in small open economies should consider using reserve requirements as a complement to interest rate policy, to achieve their macroeconomic objectives.

Suggested Citation

  • Keyra Primus, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Investigation," IMF Working Papers 2016/189, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/189
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keyra Primus & Anthony Birchwood & Lester Henry, 2014. "The Dynamics of Involuntary Commercial Banks Reserves in Trinidad and Tobago," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 48(2), pages 63-84, April-Jun.
    2. Roland Craigwell & Kevin Greenidge & Harold Codrington & Mr. Rupert D Worrell, 2003. "Economic Resilience with An Exchange Rate Peg: The Barbados Experience, 1985-2000," IMF Working Papers 2003/168, International Monetary Fund.
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    5. Christian Glocker & Pascal Towbin, 2012. "Reserve Requirements for Price and Financial Stability: When Are They Effective?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(1), pages 65-114, March.
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    7. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521547871.
    8. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Trinidad and Tobago: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2011/074, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Anderson-Reid, Karen, 2011. "Excess reserves in Jamaican Commercial Banks: The implications for Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 43663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    12. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter J. Montiel, 2007. "Credit Market Imperfections and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Part II: Flexible Exchange Rates," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 87, Economics, The University of Manchester.
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