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Have Institutional Investors Destabilized Emerging Markets?

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  • Mr. Brian J. Aitken

Abstract

In the past few years there has been a large increase in portfolio capital flows into emerging markets, mostly fueled by mutual funds and other institutional investors. Based on a simple variance ratio test, this paper finds that emerging stock markets as a group experienced a sharp increase in autocorrelation in total returns at a time when institutional investors began to significantly expand their holdings in these markets. These results are consistent with the view that institutional investor sentiment toward emerging markets as an asset class can at times play a critical role in determining asset prices, with shifts in sentiment resulting in periods of bubble-like booms and busts and asset price overshooting.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Brian J. Aitken, 1996. "Have Institutional Investors Destabilized Emerging Markets?," IMF Working Papers 1996/034, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1996/034
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pagan, Jose A. & Soydemir, Gokce A., 2001. "Response asymmetries in the Latin American equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 175-185.
    2. Salleh, Norlida & Law, Siong Hook & Sarmidi, Tamat, 2012. "Volatility of Returns and Financial Liberalization: New Evidence," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 46(1), pages 101-106.
    3. Bianchi, Benedetta & Galstyan, Vahagn & Herzberg, Valerie, 2022. "Global risk and portfolio flows to emerging markets: Evidence from irish-resident investment funds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2007:i:10:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Wang, Ping & Theobald, Mike, 2008. "Regime-switching volatility of six East Asian emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 267-283, September.
    6. Kenny, Charles J. & Moss, Todd J., 1998. "Stock markets in Africa: Emerging lions or white elephants?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 829-843, May.
    7. Pablo Bustelo & Clara Garcia & Iliana Olivie, 1999. "Global and Domestic Factors of Financial Crises in Emerging Economies: Lessons from the East Asian Episodes (1997-1999)," Working Papers 002, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales.
    8. Wen-Hsiu Kuo & Shih-Ju Chan, 2006. "The Impact of Introduction of QFIIs Trading on the Lead and Volatility Behavior: Evidence for Taiwan Index Futures Market," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 25-49.
    9. Rahul Verma & Priti Verma, 2005. "Do Emerging Equity Markets Respond Symmetrically to US Market Upturns and Downturns? Evidence from Latin America," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 4(3), pages 193-208, December.
    10. Akash Dania & John E. Spillan, 2013. "Volatility Transmission from Mature Global Stock Markets to Middle East and North African Stock Markets," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, February.
    11. Abugri, Benjamin A., 2008. "Empirical relationship between macroeconomic volatility and stock returns: Evidence from Latin American markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 396-410.
    12. Fourçans André & Warin Thierry & Evans John T. & Hens Luc & Saenen Bert & Abid Fathi & Mikhail Azmi D. & Salehizadeh Mehdi, 2000. "Global Economy Quarterly, Issue 3," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 1(3), pages 1-109, December.
    13. Florence Legros & Mohamed Najib Sassenou, 1998. "Croissance et mode de financement : Analyse économétrique sur données de panel," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 49(1), pages 207-222.

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