IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hhs/gunwpe/0359.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Pricing basket default swaps in a tractable shot-noise model

Author

Listed:
  • Herbertsson, Alexander

    (Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University)

  • Jang, Jiwook

    (Department of Actuarial Studies, Faculty of Business and Economics, Macquarie University)

  • Schmidt, Thorsten

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Chemnitz)

Abstract

We value CDS spreads and kth-to-default swap spreads in a tractable shot noise model. The default dependence is modelled by letting the individual jumps of the default intensity be driven by a common latent factor. The arrival of the jumps is driven by a Poisson process. By using conditional independence and properties of the shot noise processes we derive tractable closed-form expressions for the default distribution and the ordered survival distributions in a homogeneous portfolio. These quantities are then used to price and study CDS spreads and kth-to-default swap spreads as function of the model parameters. We study the kth-to-default spreads as function of the CDS spread, as well as other parameters in the model. All calibrations lead to perfect fits.

Suggested Citation

  • Herbertsson, Alexander & Jang, Jiwook & Schmidt, Thorsten, 2009. "Pricing basket default swaps in a tractable shot-noise model," Working Papers in Economics 359, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0359
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2077/20198
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook, 2003. "Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2849, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    2. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 55-65.
    3. Wu, Yang-Che & Chung, San-Lin, 2010. "Catastrophe risk management with counterparty risk using alternative instruments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 234-245, October.
    4. Dimitrova, Dimitrina S. & Ignatov, Zvetan G. & Kaishev, Vladimir K. & Tan, Senren, 2020. "On double-boundary non-crossing probability for a class of compound processes with applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(2), pages 602-613.
    5. Liu, Wenyue & Cadenillas, Abel, 2023. "Optimal insurance contracts for a shot-noise Cox claim process and persistent insured's actions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 69-93.
    6. Swishchuk, Anatoliy & Zagst, Rudi & Zeller, Gabriela, 2021. "Hawkes processes in insurance: Risk model, application to empirical data and optimal investment," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PA), pages 107-124.
    7. Masuda, H. & Yoshida, N., 2005. "Asymptotic expansion for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard's stochastic volatility model," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(7), pages 1167-1186, July.
    8. Burnecki, Krzysztof & Giuricich, Mario Nicoló & Palmowski, Zbigniew, 2019. "Valuation of contingent convertible catastrophe bonds — The case for equity conversion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 238-254.
    9. Simon Pojer & Stefan Thonhauser, 2023. "The Markovian Shot-noise Risk Model: A Numerical Method for Gerber-Shiu Functions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-26, March.
    10. Perrakis, Stylianos & Boloorforoosh, Ali, 2013. "Valuing catastrophe derivatives under limited diversification: A stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3157-3168.
    11. Angelos Dassios & Jiwook Jang & Hongbiao Zhao, 2019. "A Generalised CIR Process with Externally-Exciting and Self-Exciting Jumps and Its Applications in Insurance and Finance," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-18, October.
    12. Muhsin Tamturk & Dominic Cortis & Mark Farrell, 2020. "Examining the Effects of Gradual Catastrophes on Capital Modelling and the Solvency of Insurers: The Case of COVID-19," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-13, December.
    13. Yinghui Dong & Kam C. Yuen & Guojing Wang & Chongfeng Wu, 2016. "A Reduced-Form Model for Correlated Defaults with Regime-Switching Shot Noise Intensities," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 459-486, June.
    14. Hillairet, Caroline & Réveillac, Anthony & Rosenbaum, Mathieu, 2023. "An expansion formula for Hawkes processes and application to cyber-insurance derivatives," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 89-119.
    15. Truong, Chi & Trück, Stefan, 2016. "It’s not now or never: Implications of investment timing and risk aversion on climate adaptation to extreme events," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(3), pages 856-868.
    16. Yan, Jun, 2017. "Deviations and asymptotic behavior of convex and coherent entropic risk measures for compound Poisson process influenced by jump times," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 71-79.
    17. Nicola Cufaro Petroni & Piergiacomo Sabino, 2020. "Gamma Related Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes and their Simulation," Papers 2003.08810, arXiv.org.
    18. Carolyn W. Chang & Jack S. K. Chang, 2017. "An Integrated Approach to Pricing Catastrophe Reinsurance," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12, September.
    19. Angelos Dassios & Xin Dong, 2014. "Stationarity of Bivariate Dynamic Contagion Processes," Papers 1405.5842, arXiv.org.
    20. Carolyn W. Chang & Jack S. K. Chang & Min‐Teh Yu & Yang Zhao, 2020. "Portfolio optimization in the catastrophe space," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1414-1448, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit risk; intensity-based models; dependence modelling; shot noise; CDS; kth-to-default swaps;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0359. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ann-Christin Räätäri Nyström (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/naiguse.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.