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Economic development and food production–consumption balance: A growing global challenge

Author

Listed:
  • Kolleen Rask

    (Department of Economics and Accounting, College of the Holy Cross)

  • Norman Rask

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, The Ohio State University)

Abstract

Rising affluence in major developing countries (principally China and India) and increasing diversion of agricultural resources for energy production (USA and Brazil) sharply increase agricultural resource demand. Food consumption and production changes during development are analyzed using resource-based cereal-equivalent measures. Diet upgrades to livestock products require fivefold increases in per capita food resource use, reflecting a consistent pattern which is only marginally affected by land base. Food consumption increases exceed production during early development, leading to imports. Consumption eventually stabilizes at high incomes, but production falls short in land-scarce countries. Pork and poultry consumption increase the most; less efficient beef and dairy production command a majority of agricultural resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Kolleen Rask & Norman Rask, 2011. "Economic development and food production–consumption balance: A growing global challenge," Working Papers 1117, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hcx:wpaper:1117
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    Cited by:

    1. Xia, Fang & Hou, Lingling & Jin, Songqing & Li, Dongqing, 2020. "Land size and productivity in the livestock sector: evidence from pastoral areas in China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), July.
    2. Shuai Qin & Hong Chen & Haokun Wang, 2021. "Spatial–Temporal Heterogeneity and Driving Factors of Rural Residents’ Food Consumption Carbon Emissions in China—Based on an ESDA-GWR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-17, November.
    3. Emerson Rodolfo Abraham & João Gilberto Mendes dos Reis & Oduvaldo Vendrametto & Pedro Luiz de Oliveira Costa Neto & Rodrigo Carlo Toloi & Aguinaldo Eduardo de Souza & Marcos de Oliveira Morais, 2020. "Time Series Prediction with Artificial Neural Networks: An Analysis Using Brazilian Soybean Production," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.
    4. Faruk Urak & Abdulbaki Bilgic & Gürkan Bozma & Wojciech J. Florkowski & Erkan Efekan, 2022. "Volatility in Live Calf, Live Sheep, and Feed Wheat Return Markets: A Threat to Food Price Stability in Turkey," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, April.
    5. Alexander J. Stein & Fabien Santini, 2022. "The sustainability of “local” food: a review for policy-makers," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 103(1), pages 77-89, March.
    6. Meghan Beck-O’Brien & Stefan Bringezu, 2021. "Biodiversity Monitoring in Long-Distance Food Supply Chains: Tools, Gaps and Needs to Meet Business Requirements and Sustainability Goals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.
    7. Purushothaman Venkatesan & Nilakandan Sivaramane & Bharat Shankar Sontakki & Ch. Srinivasa Rao & Ved Prakash Chahal & Ashok Kumar Singh & P. Sethuraman Sivakumar & Prabhukumar Seetharaman & Bommu Kaly, 2023. "Aligning Agricultural Research and Extension for Sustainable Development Goals in India: A Case of Farmer FIRST Programme," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, January.
    8. Fukase, Emiko & Martin, Will, 2020. "Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Yameng Wang & Zhe Chen & Xiumei Wang & Mengyang Hou & Feng Wei, 2021. "Research on the Spatial Network Structure and Influencing Factors of the Allocation Efficiency of Agricultural Science and Technology Resources in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, November.
    10. Agnieszka Baer-Nawrocka & Arkadiusz Sadowski, 2019. "Food security and food self-sufficiency around the world: A typology of countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, March.
    11. Karolina Pawlak & Małgorzata Kołodziejczak, 2020. "The Role of Agriculture in Ensuring Food Security in Developing Countries: Considerations in the Context of the Problem of Sustainable Food Production," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-20, July.
    12. Sergey Baskakov & Evgeny Rudoy & Igor Vorotnikov & Irina Sukhanova & Marina Ivanovna Glukhova, 2020. "Food Balancing Assessment: A Three-Way Approach," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 404-416.
    13. Bartłomiej Bajan & Natalia Genstwa & Luboš Smutka, 2021. "The similarity of food consumption patterns in selected EU countries combined with the similarity of food production and imports," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(8), pages 316-326.
    14. Battisti, Rafael & Ferreira, Marcelo Dias Paes & Tavares, Érica Basílio & Knapp, Fábio Miguel & Bender, Fabiani Denise & Casaroli, Derblai & Alves Júnior, José, 2020. "Rules for grown soybean-maize cropping system in Midwestern Brazil: Food production and economic profits," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    15. Suizi Wang & Jiangwen Fan & Haiyan Zhang & Yaxian Zhang & Huajun Fang, 2023. "Harmonizing Population, Grain, and Land: Unlocking Sustainable Land Resource Management in the Farming–Pastoral Ecotone," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-14, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic development; Food consumption; Agricultural self-sufficiency; Cereal equivalents;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General
    • P51 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Analysis of Economic Systems
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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