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La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne

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  • Serge Rey

    (CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

Abstract

Pour la période 1970-2010, on examine la situation macroéconomique et financière des PSEM, et on la compare notamment avec celle des pays de l'UE. Dans l'ensemble les performances macroéconomiques des PSEM paraissent plutôt bonnes. L'inflation est maîtrisée, la croissance économique est au rendez-vous, même si elle est en deçà de celle des grands pays émergents, les déficits publics et les dettes sont contenus. De ce point de vue, le bilan économique est positif et on ne saurait y trouver les racines des troubles politiques récents. Néanmoins, si on y regarde de plus près un indicateur économique pose problème, c'est le chômage. Ces pays ont en commun une population jeune, et souvent éduquée, qui peine à trouver un emploi. Avec des taux de chômage des jeunes autour de 20%, voire 30% pour la Tunisie et 40% pour l'Algérie, les "bons chiffres" de l'inflation et des finances publiques ne pourront faire longtemps illusion.

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  • Serge Rey, 2011. "La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne," Working Papers hal-01880349, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01880349
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://univ-pau.hal.science/hal-01880349
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francisco Serranito, 2010. "Rattrapage technologique et convergence : un test par les séries temporelles dans le cas des pays de la région MENA," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 18(2), pages 5-45.
    2. Chami Ralph & Hakura Dalia S. & Montiel Peter J., 2012. "Do Worker Remittances Reduce Output Volatility in Developing Countries?," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Abu-Qarn, Aamer S. & Abu-Bader, Suleiman, 2007. "Sources of Growth Revisited: Evidence from Selected MENA Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 752-771, May.
    4. Serge Rey, 2006. "Effective Exchange Rate Volatility And Mena Countries Exports To The Eu," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 31(2), pages 23-54, December.
    5. REY, Serge, 2005. "Convergence réelle et convergence nominale dans les Pays de la région MENA [Real and nominal convergence amongst MENA countries]," MPRA Paper 30206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    PSEM; macroéconomie; chômage; inflation; finances publiques;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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