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Debt and Investment in the Keen Model: a Reappraisal of Modeling Minsky
[Dette et Investissement dans le modèle de Keen : quelle modélisation de Minsky ?]

Author

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  • Adrien Nguyen-Huu

    (LAMETA - Laboratoire Montpelliérain d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - UM1 - Université Montpellier 1 - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - Montpellier SupAgro - Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier, CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - ENSAI - Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz] - X - École polytechnique - ENSAE Paris - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Antonin Pottier

    (CERNA i3 - Centre d'économie industrielle i3 - Mines Paris - PSL (École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris) - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - I3 - Institut interdisciplinaire de l’innovation - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We examine to which extent the Keen model (Keen 1995) is a faithful modelling of Minsky's Finance Instability Hypothesis. We focus on debt, money, and debt-induced crisis. We propose a clear interpretation of the debt: households lend unconsumed income to firms to finance their investments, and money creation is not necessary. We offer a detailed description of the economic collapse and analyse its causes thanks to numerical experiments. The crisis is triggered by profits squeezed by wages and not by debt overhang. We test alternative assumptions on the investors' behaviour to show that behaviour at very low profits is fundamental. We conclude that the Keen crisis has few Minskian flavours.

Suggested Citation

  • Adrien Nguyen-Huu & Antonin Pottier, 2016. "Debt and Investment in the Keen Model: a Reappraisal of Modeling Minsky [Dette et Investissement dans le modèle de Keen : quelle modélisation de Minsky ?]," Working Papers hal-01376552, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01376552
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01376552
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keen, Steve, 2013. "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 221-235.
    2. Matheus R. Grasselli & Adrien Nguyen Huu, 2015. "Inflation and Speculation in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, July.
    3. Marc Lavoie, 2014. "A comment on 'Endogenous money and effective demand': a revolution or a step backwards?," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 321-332, July.
    4. Thomas I. Palley, 2014. "Aggregate demand, endogenous money, and debt: a Keynesian critique of Keen and an alternative theoretical framework," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 312-320, July.
    5. Graziani,Augusto, 2003. "The Monetary Theory of Production," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521812115.
    6. L. Randall Wray & Matthew Forstater (ed.), 2008. "Keynes and Macroeconomics After 70 Years," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 12915.
    7. Brett Fiebiger, 2014. "Bank credit, financial intermediation and the distribution of national income all matter to macroeconomics," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 292-311, July.
    8. Severin Reissl, 2016. "Keen on endogenous money and effective demand: a further comment," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 201-207, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04139954, HAL.
    2. Bovari, Emmanuel & Giraud, Gaël & Mc Isaac, Florent, 2018. "Coping With Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 383-398.
    3. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Working Papers hal-04139954, HAL.
    4. Kemp-Benedict, Eric, 2018. "Investing in a Green Transition," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 218-236.
    5. Emmanuel Bovari & Gaël Giraud & Florent McIsaac, 2018. "Carbon Pricing and Global Warming: A Stock-flow Consistent Macro-dynamic Approach," Working Paper 0a6be926-7c78-4aba-a60b-6, Agence française de développement.
    6. Giraud, Gaël & Grasselli, Matheus, 2021. "Household debt: The missing link between inequality and secular stagnation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 901-927.
    7. Gaël Giraud & Matheus GRASSELLI, 2017. "The macrodynamics of household debt, growth, and inequality," Working Paper c15af656-d7a4-485c-867f-5, Agence française de développement.
    8. Matheus R Grasselli & Alexander Lipton, 2018. "The Broad Consequences of Narrow Banking," Papers 1810.05689, arXiv.org.
    9. Matheus R. Grasselli & Alexander Lipton, 2019. "The Broad Consequences Of Narrow Banking," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-22, February.
    10. Gaël Giraud & Florent MCISAAC & Emmanuel BOVARI, 2018. "Coping with the Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming - Updated version dated July 2017," Working Paper 987f5d77-9601-4865-9ce1-4, Agence française de développement.
    11. Matthieu Bordenave, 2023. "Global bioeconomic SFC model for the study of financial instabilities [Modèle bioéconomique SFC pour l'étude des instabilités financières]," Working Papers hal-03843040, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keen model; financial crisis; Minsky; endogenous money; investment; debt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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