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Energy Commodity Prices : Is Mean-reversion Dead ?

Author

Listed:
  • Helyette Geman

    (DRM - Dauphine Recherches en Management - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Energy commodity prices have been rising at an unprecedented pace over the last five years. As oil supplies tighten and prices frequently break new highs, major oil companies have recently unveiled a flurry of multi-billion dollar deals for new projects whose target is not oil but natural gas. This article explores new sources of natural gas as well as whether natural gas and oil prices exhibit mean-reversion. The author notes that the three major unconventional gas resources identified so far are coalbed methane (CBM), tight gas sands, and organic gas shales. She concludes that with prices of oil approaching $70 per barrel at the end of August 2005 and oil futures trading above $70 on the NYMEX, these alternative sources of natural gas appear today to be a partial answer to the world energy needs.

Suggested Citation

  • Helyette Geman, 2005. "Energy Commodity Prices : Is Mean-reversion Dead ?," Post-Print halshs-00144306, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00144306
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hammami Algia & Bouri Abdelfatteh, 2016. "The Volatility of Oil Prices: What Factors?," Bulletin of Energy Economics (BEE), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 4(1), pages 98-110, March.
    2. Kretzschmar, Gavin L. & Misund, Bard & Hatherly, David, 2007. "Market risks and oilfield ownership--Refining oil and gas disclosures," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5909-5917, November.
    3. Gavin Kretzschmar & Axel Kirchner, 2008. "Recovery of hidden state participation effects on oil and gas asset values," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 755-769.
    4. Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2008. "Long term spread option valuation and hedging," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2530-2540, December.
    5. Ladislav KRISTOUFEK & Petra LUNACKOVA, 2013. "Long-term Memory in Electricity Prices: Czech Market Evidence," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 407-424, November.
    6. Mason, Charles F. & A. Wilmot, Neil, 2014. "Jump processes in natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 69-79.
    7. Geman, Hélyette & Kharoubi, Cécile, 2008. "WTI crude oil Futures in portfolio diversification: The time-to-maturity effect," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2553-2559, December.
    8. Kretzschmar, Gavin L. & Kirchner, Axel, 2009. "Oil price and reserve location--Effects on oil and gas sector returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 260-272.
    9. Xiaoyi Mu and Haichun Ye, 2015. "Small Trends and Big Cycles in Crude Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).

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    Keywords

    energy;

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