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Calibration of a stock's beta using options prices

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  • Sofiene El Aoud

    (FiQuant - Chaire de finance quantitative - MICS - Mathématiques et Informatique pour la Complexité et les Systèmes - CentraleSupélec, MAS - Mathématiques Appliquées aux Systèmes - EA 4037 - Ecole Centrale Paris)

  • Frédéric Abergel

    (FiQuant - Chaire de finance quantitative - MICS - Mathématiques et Informatique pour la Complexité et les Systèmes - CentraleSupélec, MAS - Mathématiques Appliquées aux Systèmes - EA 4037 - Ecole Centrale Paris)

Abstract

We present in our work a continuous time Capital Asset Pricing Model where the volatilities of the market index and the stock are both stochastic. Using a singular perturbation technique, we provide approximations for the prices of european options on both the stock and the index. These approximations are functions of the model parameters. We show then that existing estimators of the parameter beta, proposed in the recent literature, are biased in our setting because they are all based on the assumption that the idiosyncratic volatility of the stock is constant. We provide then an unbiased estimator of the parameter beta using only implied volatility data. This estimator is a forward measure of the parameter beta in the sense that it represents the information contained in derivatives prices concerning the forward realization of this parameter, we test then its capacity of prediction of forward beta and we draw a conclusion concerning its predictive power.

Suggested Citation

  • Sofiene El Aoud & Frédéric Abergel, 2014. "Calibration of a stock's beta using options prices," Post-Print hal-01006405, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01006405
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01006405
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Y. Campbell & Martin Lettau & Burton G. Malkiel & Yexiao Xu, 2001. "Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-43, February.
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    4. Blume, Marshall E & Friend, Irwin, 1973. "A New Look at the Capital Asset Pricing Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 19-33, March.
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    6. Steven X. Wei & Chu Zhang, 2006. "Why Did Individual Stocks Become More Volatile?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(1), pages 259-292, January.
    7. Colm Kearney & Valerio Potì, 2008. "Have European Stocks become More Volatile? An Empirical Investigation of Idiosyncratic and Market Risk in the Euro Area," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(3), pages 419-444, June.
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