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Effects of Macroeconomic Announcements on Stock Returns across Volatility Regimes

Author

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  • Henry Aray

    (Department of Economic Theory and Economic History, University of Granada.)

Abstract

Based on a simple Markov regime switching model, this article presents evidence on the effects of macroeconomic announcements on individual stocks returns. The model specification allows two regimes to be distinguished: one with high volatility and the other with low volatility. Considering the level of significance at 5%, the response of stock returns to macroeconomic announcements is much stronger in the low volatility regime. However, the effects of the Fama-French factors on individual stock returns is unambiguously significant in both regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry Aray, 2008. "Effects of Macroeconomic Announcements on Stock Returns across Volatility Regimes," ThE Papers 08/17, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
    • Handle: RePEc:gra:wpaper:08/17
    as

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    File URL: http://www.ugr.es/~teoriahe/RePEc/gra/wpaper/thepapers08_17.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    2. Gardeazabal, Javier & Regulez, Marta, 2004. "A factor model of seasonality in stock returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 224-236, May.
    3. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markov Switching Model; Macroeconomic announcements; Stock Returns.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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