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Inflation, Unemployment and the NAIRU in Australia

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Author Info
Grosby, M.
Olekalns, N.

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Abstract

In this paper we investigate the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Australia, post 1959. We focus on two features of the data: firstly, we find that forecasting models are surprisingly through ou sample period. We also estimate the nonaccelaring inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), focussing on both the level of the NAIRU, and the stability and precision of our estimates. We find that estimates of the NAIRU range from as low as 2.3% to as high as 9.5% in Australia over this period.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by New South Wales - School of Economics in its series Papers with number 96/31.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 1996
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:nesowa:96/31

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Postal: THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES, SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS, P.O.B. 1 KENSINGTON, NEW SOUTH WALES 2033 AUSTRALIA.
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Related research
Keywords: FINANCIAL POLICY; UNEMPLOYMENT;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

Cited by:
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  1. Nicolaas Groenewold & Sam Hak Kan Tang, 2001. "The Asian Financial Crisis and Natural Rate of Unemployment: Estimates from a Structural VAR for the Newly Industrializing Economies of Asia," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 01-12, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ian M McDonald, 1997. "Discussion of 'The Debate on Alternatives for Monetary Policy in Australia'," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Philip Lowe (ed.), Monetary Policy and Inflation Targeting Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. David Shepherd & Robert Dixon, 2002. "The Relationship Between Regional and National Unemployment," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(5), pages 469-480, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Robert Dixon & John Freebairn & Emayenesh Seyoum-Tegegn, 2008. "State & Territory Beveridge Curvesand the National Equilibrium Unemployment Rate," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 1033, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jeff Borland & Steven Kennedy, 1998. "Dimensions, Structure and History of Australian Unemployment," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Guy Debelle & Jeff Borland (ed.), Unemployment and the Australian Labour Market Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Pui Chi Ip, 2004. "Inflation and Growth Targeting," Research Papers 0401, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Guy Debelle & James Vickery, 1997. "Is the Phillips Curve a Curve? Some Evidence and Implications for Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9706, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Dixon, R. & Shepherd, D., 2000. "Trends and Cycles in Australian State and Territory Unemployment Rates," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 730, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Guy Debelle & James Vickery, 1998. "The Macroeconomics of Australian Unemployment," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Guy Debelle & Jeff Borland (ed.), Unemployment and the Australian Labour Market Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  10. Jeff Borland & Ian McDonald, 2000. "Labour Market Models of Unemployment in Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2000n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  11. Robert Dixon, David Shepherd, James Thomson, 2001. "Regional Unemployment Disparities in Australia," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 93-102, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala, 2008. "Labour Market Dynamics in Australia: What Drives Unemployment?," Discussion Papers 2008-26, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Mardi Dungey & John Pitchford, 1999. "The Steady Inflation Rate of Economic Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 414, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Peter Dawkins, 2000. "The Australian Labour Market in the 1990s," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: David Gruen & Sona Shrestha (ed.), The Australian Economy in the 1990s Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
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