Inflation uncertainty and growth in a simple monetary model
AbstractThis paper analyzes the effects of inflation variability on economic growth in a model where money is introduced via a cash-in-advance constraint. In this setting, we find that inflation adversely affects long-run growth, even when the cash-in-advance constraint applies only to consumption. At the same time, we find that inflation and growth are positively related in the short-run. In addition, variability tends to increase average growth through a precautionary savings motive. Since inflation and inflation variability tend to be highly correlated, this latter effect attenuates the negative long-run relationship between inflation and real growth. It also provides a partial rational for the notorious lack of robustness in cross-country regressions of growth and inflation.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in its series Working Paper with number 97-05.
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
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- Larry E. Jones & Rodolfo E. Manuelli & Ennio Stacchetti, 1999.
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