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Money does Granger-cause output in the bivariate output-money relation Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Lawrence J. Christiano
Lars Ljungqvist
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A bivariate Granger-causality test on money and output finds statistically significant causality when data are measured in log levels, but not when they are measured in first differences of the logs. Which of these results is right? The answer to that question matters because a finding of no Granger-causality from money to output would substantially embarrass existing business cycle models in which money plays an important role [Eichenbaum and Singleton (1986)]. Monte Carlo simulation experiments indicate that, most probably, the first difference results reflect lack of power, whereas the level results reflect Granger-causality that is actually in the data.
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis in its series Staff Report with number
108.
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Date of creation: 1987Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Journal of Monetary Economics (Vol.22, n.2, September 1988, pp.217-235)Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:108Contact details of provider: Postal: 90 Hennepin Avenue, P.O. Box 291, Minneapolis, MN 55480-0291 Phone: (612) 204-5000 Web page: http://minneapolisfed.org/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Monetary theory ; Money theory ; Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
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