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Is the United States an optimum currency area? an empirical analysis of regional business cycles Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Michael A. Kouparitsas
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This paper develops a statistical model to study the business cycles of the eight U.S. BEA regions. By combining unobserved component and VAR techniques I identify not only common and idiosyncratic sources of innovation, but also common and idiosyncratic responses to common shocks. Using this model, I show, at the usual levels of statistical significance, that U.S. regions deviate significantly from Mundell's notion of an optimum currency area. I identify five core regions that have similar sources of disturbances and responses to disturbances (New England, Mideast, Great Lakes, Rocky Mountains and Far West) and three non-core regions that differ significantly from the core in their sources of disturbances and/or responses to disturbances (Southeast, Plains and Southwest), at business cycle frequencies.
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its series Working Paper Series with number
WP-01-22.
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Date of creation: 2001Date of revision:
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Keywords: Business cycles ; Currency convertibility ; This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1994.
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Michael A. Kouparitsas, 1999.
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Economic Perspectives ,
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Other versions:
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Theodore M. Crone, 2003.
"An alternative definition of economic regions in the U.S. based on similarities in state business cycles ,"
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03-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Michael A. Kouparitsas, 2002.
"Understanding U.S. regional cyclical comovement: How important are spillovers and common shocks? ,"
Economic Perspectives ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q IV, pages 30-41.
[Downloadable!]
Arthur Grimes, 2005.
"Regional and Industry Cycles in Australasia: Implications for a Common Currency ,"
Working Papers
05_04, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Arthur Grimes, 2005.
"Regional and Industry Cycles in Australasia: Implications for a Common Currency ,"
Macroeconomics
0509020, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Grimes, Arthur, 2005.
"Regional and industry cycles in Australasia: Implications for a common currency ,"
Journal of Asian Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 380-397, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sergio Rebelo, 2005.
"Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present, and Future ,"
NBER Working Papers
11401, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
Rebelo, Sérgio, 2005.
"Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5384, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sergio Rebelo, 2005.
"Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future ,"
RCER Working Papers
522, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
[Downloadable!] Sergio Rebelo, 2005.
"Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future ,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 107(2), pages 217-238, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Elizabeth C. Wakerly & Byron G. Scott & James M. Nason, 2004.
"Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on? ,"
Working Paper
2004-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall, 2004.
"Business cycle phases in U.S. states ,"
Working Papers
2003-011, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2004.
"Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy ,"
Working Papers
2003-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Arthur Grimes, 2005.
"Intra & Inter-Regional Shocks: A New Metric with an Application to Australasian Currency Union ,"
Working Papers
05_03, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
[Downloadable!]
Theodore M. Crone, 2004.
"A redefinition of economic regions in the U.S ,"
Working Papers
04-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!]
Viv Hall & John McDermott, 2008.
"An Unobserved Components Common Cycle For Australia? Implications For A Common Currency ,"
CAMA Working Papers
2008-11, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis.
[Downloadable!]
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