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Monetary aggregates as monetary targets: a statistical investigation

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  • Charles H. Whiteman
  • William Roberds

Abstract

In this paper, the authors analyze statistical properties of the monetary base, M1, and M2 for the postwar U.S. data record. The authors are specifically interested in answering three policy-related questions. First, to what extent do these monetary aggregates contain information useful for predicting movements in prices and real output? Second, how do the aggregates rank as to their predictive usefulness? Third, how do these aggregates rank as to the stability of their relationship to the macroeconomy? Copyright 1992 by Ohio State University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta in its series Working Paper with number 90-7.

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Date of creation: 1990
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedawp:90-7

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Keywords: Monetary policy - United States;

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Cited by:
  1. Garratt, Anthony & Koop, Gary & Mise, Emi & Vahey, Shaun P., 2009. "Real-Time Prediction With U.K. Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 480-491.
  2. Ellis W. Tallman & Naveen Chandra, 1997. "Financial aggregates as conditioning information for Australian output and inflation," Working Paper 97-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  3. Rossiter, R. D., 1995. "Monetary policy indicators after deregulation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 207-223.
  4. Boyes, William J. & Mounts, WM. Jr. & Sowell, Clifford & Payne, James E., 1996. "All politics is local: The effect of fiscal and monetary constitutions on economic policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 657-678.
  5. Mounts, Wm. Jr. & Sowell, Clifford, 1995. "A statistical note on possible institutional regimes in budget policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 149-160.
  6. Richard M. Todd, 1990. "Vector autoregression evidence on monetarism: another look at the robustness debate," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Spr, pages 19-37.

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