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How to Attain Minimax Risk with Applications to Distribution-Free Nonparametric Estimation and Testing

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Author Info
Karl H. Schlag

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Abstract

We show how to a derive exact distribution-free nonparametric results for minimax risk when underlying random variables have known finite bounds and means are the only parameters of interest. Transform the data with a randomized mean preserving transformation into binary data and then apply the solution to minimax risk for the case where random variables are binary valued. This shows that minimax risk is attained by a linear strategy and the the set of binary valued distributions contains a least favorable prior. We apply these results to statistics. All unbiased symmetric non-randomized estimates for a function of the mean of a single sample are presented. We find a most powerful unbiased test for the mean of a single sample. We present tight lower bounds on size, type II error and minimal accuracy in terms of expected length of confidence intervals for a single mean and for the difference between two means. We show how to transform the randomized tests that attain the lower bounds into non-randomized tests that have at most twice the type I and II errors. Relative parameter efficiency can be measured in finite samples, in an example on anti-selfdealing indices relative (parameter) efficiency is 60% as compared to the tight lower bound. Our method can be used to generate distribution-free nonparametric estimates and tests when variance is the only parameter of interest. In particular we present a uniformly consistent estimator of standard deviation together with an upper bound on expected quadratic loss. We use our estimate to measure income inequality.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by European University Institute in its series Economics Working Papers with number ECO2007/04.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2007/04

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Related research
Keywords: exact distribution-free nonparametric inference finite sample theory

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Statistical Decision Theory; Operations Research

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Karl Schlag, 2006. "ELEVEN - Tests needed for a Recommendation," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/2, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Simeon Djankov & Rafael LaPorta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2005. "The Law and Economics of Self-Dealing," NBER Working Papers 11883, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Karl H. Schlag, 2006. "Designing Non-Parametric Estimates and Tests for Means," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/26, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
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