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Economic implications of off-road cycle lanes to increase physical activity and reduce sex and gender differences in the risk of dementia

Author

Listed:
  • Walbaum, Magdalena
  • Aguzzoli, Elisa
  • Castro‑Aldrete, Laura
  • Cyhlarova, Eva
  • Santuccione Chadha, Antonella
  • Knapp, Martin

Abstract

Background Dementia represents one of the greatest global health challenges. There are known risk factors that might prevent or delay nearly 50% of the different types of dementia. There are substantial differences in risk factors and progression of dementia between women and men, including engagement in regular physical activity. The study aimed to quantify the impact of increasing women's participation in physical activity with off-road cycles and its effect on dementia incidence, relative to men and the associated health and social care costs. Methods Our study employed a population model with secondary data analysis approach to investigate the potential economic effect of implementing off-cycle lanes in the UK. Data were drawn from published evidence on lifetime risk of dementia relative to physical activity in men and women for the UK population, levels of physical activity in the UK, evidence on the effectiveness of off-road cycle lanes in increasing the level of physical activity in men and women, lifetime costs of dementia in the UK. Two scenarios were compared, assuming an increase from the baseline levels of cycling of 40.3% and 114% for women and by 36.4% and 77% for men, respectively. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for variations in key variables. Results Current dementia related lifetime costs were estimated at £1090.1 billion, and total lifetime costs £3326.1 billion. Under Scenario 1, dementia related lifetime costs decreased by £4.7 billion, and total lifetime costs by £0.11 billion. In Scenario 2, dementia related lifetime costs decreased by £7.0 billion, and total lifetime costs by £1.9 billion. Conclusion Off-road cycle lanes, especially for women, this type of structural and lifestyle intervention has the potential to bring health and economic benefits. Increased physical activity not only provides numerous health benefits, but also contributes to preventing the onset and lifetime costs of dementia.

Suggested Citation

  • Walbaum, Magdalena & Aguzzoli, Elisa & Castro‑Aldrete, Laura & Cyhlarova, Eva & Santuccione Chadha, Antonella & Knapp, Martin, 2025. "Economic implications of off-road cycle lanes to increase physical activity and reduce sex and gender differences in the risk of dementia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 127515, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:127515
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Briggs, Andrew & Sculpher, Mark & Claxton, Karl, 2006. "Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198526629, Decembrie.
    2. Wittenberg, Raphael & Knapp, Martin & Hu, Bo & Comas-Herrera, Adelina & King, Derek & Rehill, Amritpal & Shi, Cheng & Banerjee, Sube & Patel, Anita & Jagger, Carol & Kingston, Andrew, 2019. "The costs of dementia in England," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100500, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Prati, Gabriele & Fraboni, Federico & De Angelis, Marco & Pietrantoni, Luca & Johnson, Daniel & Shires, Jeremy, 2019. "Gender differences in cycling patterns and attitudes towards cycling in a sample of European regular cyclists," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-7.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    dementia; economic impact; off-road cycle land; physical activity; sex and gender differences; off-road cycle lane;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health

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