IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecl/illbus/04-0110.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Bayesian Newsvendors in Supply Chains with Unobserved Lost Sales

Author

Listed:
  • Glenn, David

    (U of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

  • Bisi, Arnab

    (U of British Columbia)

  • Puterman, Martin L.

    (U of British Columbia)

Abstract

We consider two-echelon supply chains with one supplier and two retailers. Retailers are censored newsvendors facing general parametric demand distributions involving unknown parameters. Using a Bayesian MDP formulation, we investigate how the supplier can make use of the combined information gathered from the retailers' sales data to increase channel profits. We compare among the following three scenarios: (i) supplier shares her (pooled) demand distribution updates with the retailers, (ii) supplier does not use pooled updates, and (iii) integrated firm. We show that buy-back contracts achieve channel coordination in the above system.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn, David & Bisi, Arnab & Puterman, Martin L., 2004. "The Bayesian Newsvendors in Supply Chains with Unobserved Lost Sales," Working Papers 04-0110, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, College of Business.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecl:illbus:04-0110
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.business.illinois.edu/Working_Papers/papers/04-0110.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Samuel Karlin, 1960. "Dynamic Inventory Policy with Varying Stochastic Demands," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 6(3), pages 231-258, April.
    2. William S. Lovejoy, 1990. "Myopic Policies for Some Inventory Models with Uncertain Demand Distributions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 724-738, June.
    3. Katy S. Azoury, 1985. "Bayes Solution to Dynamic Inventory Models Under Unknown Demand Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(9), pages 1150-1160, September.
    4. Yossi Aviv, 2001. "The Effect of Collaborative Forecasting on Supply Chain Performance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(10), pages 1326-1343, October.
    5. Martin A. Lariviere & Evan L. Porteus, 1999. "Stalking Information: Bayesian Inventory Management with Unobserved Lost Sales," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(3), pages 346-363, March.
    6. Srinivasan Raghunathan, 2001. "Information Sharing in a Supply Chain: A Note on its Value when Demand Is Nonstationary," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(4), pages 605-610, April.
    7. Fangruo Chen, 1998. "Echelon Reorder Points, Installation Reorder Points, and the Value of Centralized Demand Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(12-Part-2), pages 221-234, December.
    8. Donald L. Iglehart, 1964. "The Dynamic Inventory Problem with Unknown Demand Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 429-440, April.
    9. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    10. William S. Lovejoy, 1993. "Suboptimal Policies, with Bounds, for Parameter Adaptive Decision Processes," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(3), pages 583-599, June.
    11. Gérard P. Cachon & Marshall Fisher, 2000. "Supply Chain Inventory Management and the Value of Shared Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(8), pages 1032-1048, August.
    12. Gary D. Eppen & Ananth. V. Iyer, 1997. "Improved Fashion Buying with Bayesian Updates," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 45(6), pages 805-819, December.
    13. Barry Alan Pasternack, 1985. "Optimal Pricing and Return Policies for Perishable Commodities," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 4(2), pages 166-176.
    14. Silver, Edward A. & Fiechter, Claude-Nicolas, 1995. "Preventive maintenance with limited historical data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 125-144, April.
    15. Marshall Fisher & Ananth Raman, 1996. "Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty Through Accurate Response to Early Sales," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 87-99, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yossi Aviv, 2003. "A Time-Series Framework for Supply-Chain Inventory Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 210-227, April.
    2. Xiaomei Ding & Martin L. Puterman & Arnab Bisi, 2002. "The Censored Newsvendor and the Optimal Acquisition of Information," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 50(3), pages 517-527, June.
    3. Joseph M. Milner & Panos Kouvelis, 2005. "Order Quantity and Timing Flexibility in Supply Chains: The Role of Demand Characteristics," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(6), pages 970-985, June.
    4. Mila Nambiar & David Simchi‐Levi & He Wang, 2021. "Dynamic Inventory Allocation with Demand Learning for Seasonal Goods," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(3), pages 750-765, March.
    5. Apostolos Burnetas & Stephen Gilbert, 2001. "Future Capacity Procurements Under Unknown Demand and Increasing Costs," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(7), pages 979-992, July.
    6. Katy S. Azoury & Julia Miyaoka, 2009. "Optimal Policies and Approximations for a Bayesian Linear Regression Inventory Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 813-826, May.
    7. Arnab Bisi & Maqbool Dada, 2007. "Dynamic learning, pricing, and ordering by a censored newsvendor," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(4), pages 448-461, June.
    8. Prak, Dennis & Teunter, Ruud & Syntetos, Aris, 2017. "On the calculation of safety stocks when demand is forecasted," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(2), pages 454-461.
    9. Woonghee Tim Huh & Paat Rusmevichientong, 2009. "A Nonparametric Asymptotic Analysis of Inventory Planning with Censored Demand," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 103-123, February.
    10. U Benzion & Y Cohen & T Shavit, 2010. "The newsvendor problem with unknown distribution," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1022-1031, June.
    11. Çağrı Haksöz & Sridhar Seshadri, 2004. "Monotone Forecasts," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(3), pages 478-486, June.
    12. Larson, C. Erik & Olson, Lars J. & Sharma, Sunil, 2001. "Optimal Inventory Policies when the Demand Distribution Is Not Known," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 281-300, November.
    13. Ghate, Archis, 2015. "Optimal minimum bids and inventory scrapping in sequential, single-unit, Vickrey auctions with demand learning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(2), pages 555-570.
    14. Bharadwaj Kadiyala & Özalp Özer & Alain Bensoussan, 2020. "A Mechanism Design Approach to Vendor Managed Inventory," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2628-2652, June.
    15. Berk, Emre & Gurler, Ulku & Levine, Richard A., 2007. "Bayesian demand updating in the lost sales newsvendor problem: A two-moment approximation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 256-281, October.
    16. Li, Tianyun & Fang, Weiguo & Baykal-Gürsoy, Melike, 2021. "Two-stage inventory management with financing under demand updates," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    17. Tang, Christopher S., 2006. "Perspectives in supply chain risk management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 451-488, October.
    18. Harun Avci & Kagan Gokbayrak & Emre Nadar, 2020. "Structural Results for Average‐Cost Inventory Models with Markov‐Modulated Demand and Partial Information," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(1), pages 156-173, January.
    19. Ananth V. Iyer & Vinayak Deshpande & Zhengping Wu, 2003. "A Postponement Model for Demand Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(8), pages 983-1002, August.
    20. Joseph M. Milner & Panos Kouvelis, 2002. "On the Complementary Value of Accurate Demand Information and Production and Supplier Flexibility," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 4(2), pages 99-113, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecl:illbus:04-0110. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbuiuus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.