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Meeting the Poverty-Reduction MDG in the Southern Cone

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Author Info
Leonardo Gasparini () (Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS) - Universidad Nacional de La Plata)
Martín Cicowiez () (Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales (CEDLAS) - Universidad Nacional de La Plata)

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Abstract

This paper assesses the likelihood of meeting the Millennium Development Goal of halving poverty by 2015 in Argentina, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay. We simulate the poverty impact of changes in growth rates and redistributive policies, and trace the poverty consequences of various alternative economic scenarios using microeconometric decompositions. Sustainable and vigorous productivity growth seems to be a necessary condition to meet the poverty MDG by 2015 in Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. The required growth rate could be significantly lower if some modest well-targeted redistribution could be performed. In contrast to its neighbors, Chile has already achieved the poverty MDG.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata in its series Working Papers with number 0023.

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Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: May 2005
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Handle: RePEc:dls:wpaper:0023

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Related research
Keywords: MDG; poverty; Argentina; Chile; Paraguay; Uruguay;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D3 - Microeconomics - - Distribution
I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
O54 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Ravallion, Martin & Datt, Gaurav & van de Walle, Dominique, 1991. "Quantifying Absolute Poverty in the Developing World," Review of Income and Wealth, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(4), pages 345-61, December.
  2. Hernán Winkler, 2005. "Monitoring the Socio-Economic Conditions in Uruguay," Working Papers 0026, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Martín Cicowiez & Luciano Di Gresia & Leonardo Gasparini, 2007. "Políticas Públicas y Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio en la Argentina," Working Papers 0056, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata. [Downloadable!]
  2. Leonardo Gasparini & Federico Gutiérrez & Leopoldo Tornarolli, 2005. "Growth and Income Poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean: Evidence from Household Surveys," Working Papers 0030, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata. [Downloadable!]
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