Nous proposons d'analyser l'un des premiers outils de simulation en Žconomie au travers les travaux de Tinbergen entre 1935 et 1940 au sein de la SociŽtŽ des Nations. PrŽcisŽment, Tinbergen dŽveloppe l'utilisation des modles structurels destinŽs ˆ la simulation Žconomique. Nous constaterons dans une premire partie la volontŽ de Tinbergen de simuler le mouvement Žconomique en testant statistiquement les thŽories Žconomiques des cycles. Ainsi, Tinbergen est ˆ la recherche d'un systme de fonctions dont la structure est basŽe sur des thŽories Žconomiques. Ce systme est considŽrŽ par Tinbergen comme faisant office de machine permettant alors un second niveau de simulation dŽveloppŽe dans la deuxime partie de l'article. PrŽcisŽment, la machine ainsi constituŽe permet des simulations de scŽnarios de politiques Žconomiques. Tinbergen Žlabore une machine expŽrimentale qui lui permet de considŽrer ˆ la fois des scŽnarios de politiques conjoncturelles et structurelles.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics B23 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Quantitative and Mathematical
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