Microsimulation of Pension Reforms: Behavioural versus Nonbehavioural Approach
AbstractWe analyse the impact of various pension regimes, as shaped by recent Italian reforms, on retirement age, adequacy issues, and redistribution. We add to the literature on microsimulation by accounting for individuals’ reactions to financial incentives when deciding to retire. We find that shifting from a generous defined benefit (DB) system to an actuarially fair notional defined contribution (NDC) system induces individuals, particularly men, to postpone retirement. Voluntary postponement of retirement and, above all, participation in the second pillar would grant a comprehensive replacement rate (first plus second pillars) comparable to that obtained with the first pillar alone in the pre-reform DB regime.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy) in its series CeRP Working Papers with number 86.
Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2009
Date of revision:
Microsimulation; public pensions; retirement;
Other versions of this item:
- Borella, Margherita & Moscarola, Flavia Coda, 2010. "Microsimulation of pension reforms: behavioural versus nonbehavioural approach," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(04), pages 583-607, October.
- C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
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- Peri, Giovanni & Romiti, Agnese & Rossi, Mariacristina, 2013. "Immigrants, Household Production and Women's Retirement," IZA Discussion Papers 7549, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Emanuele Ciani & Marcello Morciano, 2011.
"Estimation and Simulation of Earnings in IT-SILC,"
Department of Economics, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi"
0660, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Emanuele Ciani & Marcello Morciano, 2011. "Estimation and Simulation of Earnings in IT-SILC," Center for the Analysis of Public Policies (CAPP), Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia Politica 0090, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia Politica.
- Jan Hagemejer & Krzysztof Makarski & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2013. "Unprivatizing the Pension System: The Case of Poland," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw 2013-26, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
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