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The Empirical Modelling of NIE Exports: An Evaluation of Different Approaches

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Author Info
Muscatelli, Vito Antonio
Srinivasan, T G
Vines, David

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Abstract

This paper investigates the current debate regarding the robustness of estimates of export demand and supply elasticities for LDCs and NIEs obtained by recent empirical studies. The empirical findings reported in the paper suggest that price elasticities of demand are indeed low, and that there are strong and significant income effects on export demand. Furthermore, using a variety of modelling approaches, we demonstrate that the choice of estimation method and normalization need not lead to drastically different conclusions regarding the size of the price elasticity of demand for NIE exports. While this points against the "small-country assumption" usually made regarding LDC/NIE exports, we argue that the preferred development strategy for LDCs need not necessarily be an inward-oriented o.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 426.

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Date of creation: Jul 1990
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:426

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Related research
Keywords: Exports; Terms of Trade; Trade Policy;

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  1. Tilak Abeysinghe & Keen Meng Choy, 2005. "Modelling Small Economy Exports: The Case of Singapore," SCAPE Policy Research Working Paper Series 0501, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics, SCAPE. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hal Hill & Supbat Suphachalasai, 1992. "The myth of export pessimism (even) under the mfa: evidence from indonesia and thailand," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 128(2), pages 310-329, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Lilas Demmou, 2007. "Technical progress in North and welfare gains in South under nonhomothetic preferences," PSE Working Papers 2007-08, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
  4. Jakob Madsen, 1998. "Errors-in-variables, supply side effects, and price elasticities in foreign trade," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 134(4), pages 612-637, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. J. Love & E. Turner, 2001. "Exports, domestic policy and world markets: a panel study," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(5), pages 615-627. [Downloadable!]
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