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Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios

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Author Info
Stefan Boeters ()
M.J.G. den Elzen
A.G.J.Manders
Paul Veenendaal ()
Gerard Verweij ()

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Abstract

The cost and effectiveness of climate policy in Europe depend on the international post-2012 climate regime. Crucial are the stringency of the policy and the size of the climate coalition, e.g. the willingness of regions outside Europe to implement a climate policy. This report analyzes four alternative policy scenarios. These four scenarios are characterised along two dimensions: the sense of urgency expressed by the policy goal, and the willingness to resolve the climate problem through concerted action. This analysis provides a background for identifying the best mitigation options, both in the Netherlands and the EU. Only if all major countries become actively involved in emissions abatement before 2020, the EU 2 degrees climate target is feasible. In smaller coalitions the costs to coalition members and the environmental ineffectiveness tend to increase.

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File URL: http://www.cpb.nl/eng/pub/cpbreeksen/bijzonder/70/bijz70.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis in its series CPB Special Publications with number 70.

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Date of creation: Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cpb:spcial:70

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Related research
Keywords: climate change; climate policy; scenario study; cap and trade; greenhouse gas emissions;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters
Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. de Coninck, Heleen & Fischer, Carolyn & Newell, Richard G. & Ueno, Takahiro, 2008. "International technology-oriented agreements to address climate change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 335-356, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Johannes Bollen & Ton Manders & Machiel Mulder, 2004. "Four futures for energy markets and climate change," CPB Special Publications 52, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  3. Arjan Lejour & Paul Veenendaal & Gerard Verweij & Nico van Leeuwen, 2006. "Worldscan; a model for international economic policy analysis," CPB Documents 111, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.

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