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Alternative Measures of Price Inflation and the Perception of Real Income in Germany

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  • Karl-Friedrich Israel
  • Gunther Schnabl

Abstract

Since the 1980s inflationary pressures seem to materialize overproportionately outside of the sectors of consumer goods and services. We combine the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices with indices for asset prices, such as stocks and real estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop alternative inflation measures in Germany since the introduction of the euro. Real economic growth as well as median wage developments are reexamined in light of the alternative inflation estimates. Both turn out to be negative over the past decade in the most pessimistic scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Karl-Friedrich Israel & Gunther Schnabl, 2020. "Alternative Measures of Price Inflation and the Perception of Real Income in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 8583, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8583
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Herborn & Gunther Schnabl, 2022. "Wohnimmobilienpreise, Inflationsmessung und Geldpolitik im Euroraum [Housing Prices, Inflation Measurement and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(5), pages 402-407, May.
    2. Gunther Schnabl & Tim Florian Sepp, 2021. "Auch die Konsumentenpreisinflation dürfte auf längere Zeit steigen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(9), pages 684-687, September.
    3. Gunther Schnabl & Tim Florian Sepp, 2021. "Inflationsziel und Inflationsmessung in der Eurozone im Wandel [Inflation Targeting and Inflation Measurement in the Euro Area in Transition]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(8), pages 615-620, August.
    4. Gunther Schnabl, 2020. "Die Inflationsmessung erzeugt die Illusion der stabilen Kaufkraft," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(11), pages 838-841, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; harmonized index of consumer prices; hidden inflation; assets prices; costs of public goods; inflation targeting; monetary policy; real wages; real economic growth; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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