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Buoyant Capital Spending and Worries over Real Appreciation: Cold Facts from Algeria

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Author Info
Kangni KPODAR () (Fonds Monétaire International)
Boileau LOKO () (Fonds Monétaire International)
Oumar DIALLO () (Nations Unies (Siège))
Abstract

The Government of Algeria has pursed a relatively expansionary fiscal policy in recent years, thanks to rising oil prices and revenues. The paper explores the potential effects of such a stance on real exchange rate and uncovers a relatively small appreciating effect of increased government capital expenditure. This is explained by the fact that a significant share of capital spending falls into tradable imported goods. However, the envisaged increase in capital spending, if well designed and implemented, might in the long-run translate into rising operations and maintenance expenditure—mostly nontradable goods—thereby causing a higher real appreciation. This implies that Algeria should carefully consider the implications of its public investment program on recurrent expenditure.

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File URL: http://publi.cerdi.org/ed/2008/2008.04.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CERDI in its series Working Papers with number 200804.

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Length: 22
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:960

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Related research
Keywords: Government capital expenditure; oil; real exchange rate;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-22.


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