IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/1026.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Vulnerabilidades financieras de los hogares en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Daisy J. Pacheco-Bernal

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Santiago D. Segovia-Baquero

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Ana M. Yaruro-Jaime

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

Abstract

El estudio sobre las vulnerabilidades financieras de los hogares es un tema que ha adquirido mayor relevancia en los últimos años debido al incremento en su endeudamiento y al potencial efecto que un choque negativo sobre este sector pueda tener sobre las instituciones financieras y el crecimiento económico. El objetivo de este trabajo es cuantificar las fragilidades financieras de los hogares colombianos en términos de su nivel de carga financiera, endeudamiento y morosidad, así como establecer un marco de referencia para ejercicios de sensibilidad sobre este sector en Colombia. La información que se emplea para este análisis proviene de la Encuesta de educación financiera y carga financiera (Iefic) realizada por el DANE y el Banco de la República. Los resultados muestran que en el periodo comprendido entre 2014 y 2016 la carga financiera de los hogares disminuyó, aunque la proporción de deuda que concentran los hogares vulnerables aumentó. Adicionalmente, las probabilidades de desempleo y default se han incrementado, lo que se ha visto reflejado en una mayor exposición del sistema hacia el riesgo proveniente de estos deudores. A pesar de que los ejercicios de sensibilidad no reflejan un aumento significativo en esta exposición, es importante realizar un monitoreo constante de las condiciones financieras de estos agentes, en un contexto de deterioro en las condiciones macroeconómicas del país.

Suggested Citation

  • Daisy J. Pacheco-Bernal & Santiago D. Segovia-Baquero & Ana M. Yaruro-Jaime, 2017. "Vulnerabilidades financieras de los hogares en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1026, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1026
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1026
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.1026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ramdane Djoudad, 2011. "A framework to assess vulnerabilities arising from household indebtedness using microdata," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Initiatives to address data gaps revealed by the financial crisis", Basel, 25-26 August 2010, volume 34, pages 151-168, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Atif Mian & Amir Sufi & Emil Verner, 2017. "Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(4), pages 1755-1817.
    3. Luisa Farinha, 2003. "The Effect of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors on Households' Indebetdness," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    4. Daisy Johana Pacheco & Ana María Yaruro, 2016. "Factores que afectan la tenencia de productos financieros en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 978, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Luis Angeles, 2015. "Credit expansion and the economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1064-1072, September.
    6. Javier Gutiérrez Rueda & Dairo Estrada & Laura Capera, 2011. "Un análisis del endeudamiento de los hogares," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 061, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Carlos Madeira, 2016. "Explaining the Cyclical Volatility of Consumer Debt Risk," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 772, Central Bank of Chile.
    8. Mathias Drehmann & Anamaria Illes & Mikael Juselius & Marjorie Santos, 2015. "How much income is used for debt payments? A new database for debt service ratios," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    9. Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo & Ana María Tribín-Uribe, 2016. "Determinantes del acceso al crédito formal e informal: Evidencia de los hogares de ingresos medios y bajos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 956, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Carlos Madeira, 2014. "El Impacto del Endeudamiento y Riesgo de Desempleo en la Morosidad de las Familias Chilenas," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 17(1), pages 88-102, April.
    11. Tom Bilston & Robert Johnson & Matthew Read, 2015. "Stress Testing the Australian Household Sector Using the HILDA Survey," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. María Victoria Landaberry, 2018. "Sensibilidad de la deuda de los hogares uruguayos ante un choque en el ingreso," Documentos de trabajo 2018002, Banco Central del Uruguay.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_003 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo & Ana María Tribín-Uribe, 2018. "Crédito formal e informal de los hogares en Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: María José Roa García & Diana Mejía (ed.), Decisiones financieras de los hogares e inclusión financiera: evidencia para América Latina y el Caribe, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, pages 133-166, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    3. Giordana, Gastón & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2020. "Stress testing household balance sheets in Luxembourg," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-138.
    4. Michael Funke & Rongrong Sun & Linxu Zhu, 2022. "The credit risk of Chinese households: A micro‐level assessment," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 254-276, August.
    5. Liaqat Ali & Muhammad Kamran Naqi Khan & Habib Ahmad, 2020. "Financial Fragility of Pakistani Household," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 572-590, September.
    6. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Korinek, Anton, 2023. "Long-term debt propagation and real reversals," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2023, Bank of Finland.
    7. Kirsten Abela & Ilias Georgakopoulus, 2022. "A stress testing framework for the Maltese household sector," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
    8. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2017. "Accounting for debt service: the painful legacy of credit booms," BIS Working Papers 645, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Xia, Fan Dora, 2020. "Forecasting recessions: the importance of the financial cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Jonathan Kearns & Mike Major & David Norman, 2021. "How Risky Is Australian Household Debt?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 54(3), pages 313-330, September.
    11. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Korinek, Anton, 2018. "Going with the flows: New borrowing, debt service and the transmission of credit booms," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2018, Bank of Finland.
    12. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2018. "Going With the Flows: New Borrowing, Debt Service and the Transmission of Credit Booms," NBER Working Papers 24549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Gan-Ochir Doojav & Ariun-Erdene Bayarjargal, 2017. "Stress testing the household sector in Mongolia," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 24(2), pages 23-52, December.
    14. Luis Alberto Merchán Benavides, 2018. "¿Afecta la distancia de residencia a los centros urbanos la calidad en la cartera de creditos? Caso aplicado a una entidad financiera de Colombia," Vniversitas Económica 16451, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
    15. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2017_012 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:zbw:bofitp:2018_012 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Mikael Juselius & Mathias Drehmann, 2020. "Leverage Dynamics and the Burden of Debt," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 347-364, April.
    18. Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo & Ana María Tribín-Uribe, 2018. "Formal and Informal Household Credit in Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: María José Roa García & Diana Mejía (ed.), Financial Decisions of Households and Financial Inclusion: Evidence for Latin America and the Caribbean, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, pages 125-156, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    19. Unger, Robert, 2018. "Revisiting the finance and growth nexus: A deeper look at sectors and instruments," Discussion Papers 55/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    20. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_010 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Mikael Juselius & Mathias Drehmann, 2020. "Leverage Dynamics and the Burden of Debt," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 347-364, April.
    22. Ms. Elena Loukoianova & Yu Ching Wong & Ioana Hussiada, 2019. "Household Debt, Consumption, and Monetary Policy in Australia," IMF Working Papers 2019/076, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2017. "Accounting for debt service: the painful legacy of credit booms," BIS Working Papers 645, Bank for International Settlements.
    24. Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019. "Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators," CESifo Working Paper Series 7839, CESifo.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    hogares; probabilidad de default; desempleo; ejercicios de sensibilidad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1026. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.