IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdi/opques/qef_813_23.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Global supply chain bottlenecks and exporter performance: evidence from Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Fadi Hassan

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

Using custom-level and survey data for Italian firms, this paper examines the performance of firms exposed to global value chain (GVC) bottlenecks in terms of exports, revenues, and hours worked. We find evidence that firms reporting greater difficulties in sourcing the desired amount of inputs experienced posted significantly higher growth on average. The magnitude of this result is larger for firms with more diversified suppliers and is unaffected by the geographical distance of suppliers. We disentangle the role of demand and supply factors in firms’ performance and the results suggest that, despite constraints on the supply side, problems in sourcing inputs mostly mirrored an increase in demand. These findings hold true when using alternative direct and indirect measures of firms’ exposure to bottlenecks, as well as when taking into account several firms’ characteristics and fixed effects. We also examine firms’ future GVC strategies through a survey. There is limited evidence of firms willing to retrench from GVCs through re-shoring or near-shoring, but there is strong evidence of firms aiming to increase GVCs’ resilience through greater diversification of suppliers and larger inventories.

Suggested Citation

  • Fadi Hassan, 2023. "Global supply chain bottlenecks and exporter performance: evidence from Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 813, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_813_23
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/qef/2023-0813/QEF_813_23.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Julian di Giovanni & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation," NBER Working Papers 30240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Serdar Kabaca & Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Working Papers 23-19, Bank of Canada.
    2. Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," Economics Series Working Papers 1033, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    3. Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda, 2023. "Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Gustavo González & Emiliano Luttini & Marco Rojas, 2023. "Freight costs and domestic prices during the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 982, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Gaurav Khanna & Nicolas Morales & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, 2022. "Supply Chain Resilience: Evidence from Indian Firms," NBER Working Papers 30689, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Lhuissier, Stéphane & Ortmans, Aymeric & Tripier, Fabien, 2022. "The Risk of Inflation Dispersion in the Euro Area," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 2212, CEPREMAP.
    7. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Shipping Cost Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching and the Global Drivers of Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 10798, CESifo.
    8. Cajal-Grossi, Julia & Del Prete, Davide & Macchiavello, Rocco, 2023. "Supply chain disruptions and sourcing strategies," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Paul Beaudry & Thomas J. Carter & Amartya Lahiri, 2022. "Looking Through Supply Shocks versus Controlling Inflation Expectations: Understanding the Central Bank Dilemma," Staff Working Papers 22-41, Bank of Canada.
    10. Finck, David & Tillmann, Peter, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of global supply chain disruptions," IMFS Working Paper Series 178, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    11. Ricardo Hausmann & Ulrich Schetter & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "On the Design of Effective Sanctions: The Case of Bans on Exports to Russia," CID Working Papers 417, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    12. Diego Comin & Robert C. Johnson & Callum J. Jones, 2023. "Supply Chain Constraints and Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-075, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S. & Wang, Yongli, 2023. "Drivers and spillover effects of inflation: The United States, the euro area, and the United Kingdom☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    15. Laurence M. Ball & Mr. Daniel Leigh & Ms. Prachi Mishra, 2022. "Understanding U.S. Inflation During the COVID Era," IMF Working Papers 2022/208, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Paolo Pasimeni, 2022. "Supply or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 384-393, November.
    17. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," NBER Working Papers 29785, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    19. Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2023. "Understanding the global drivers of inflation: How important are oil prices?11We would like to thank Xuguang Simon Sheng, Guest Editor, and two anonymous reviewers for their detailed feedback. We also," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    20. Francesco Corsello & Marco Flaccadoro & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Quantity versus price dynamics: the role of energy and bottlenecks in the Italian industrial sector," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 781, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    GVCs; production bottlenecks; exports;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F6 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_813_23. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdigvit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.