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An approach to extend Cross-Impact Balance method in multiple timespans

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  • Chonghao Zhao

Abstract

Cross-Impact Balance Analysis (CIB) is a widely used method to build scenarios and help researchers to formulate policies in different fields, such as management sciences and social sciences. During the development of the CIB method over the years, some derivative methods were developed to expand its application scope, including a method called dynamic CIB. However, the workflow of dynamic CIB is relatively complex. In this article, we provide another approach to extend CIB in multiple timespans based on the concept 'scenario weight' and simplify the workflow to bring convenience to the policy makers.

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  • Chonghao Zhao, 2023. "An approach to extend Cross-Impact Balance method in multiple timespans," Papers 2308.06223, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2308.06223
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    1. Vögele, Stefan & Hansen, Patrick & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Prehofer, Sigrid & Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang, 2017. "Building scenarios for energy consumption of private households in Germany using a multi-level cross-impact balance approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 937-946.
    2. Lisa Hanna Broska & Stefan Vögele & Hawal Shamon & Inga Wittenberg, 2022. "On the Future(s) of Energy Communities in the German Energy Transition: A Derivation of Transformation Pathways," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-31, March.
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