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When Can We Ignore Measurement Error in the Running Variable?

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  • Yingying Dong
  • Michal Koles'ar

Abstract

In many applications of regression discontinuity designs, the running variable used by the administrator to assign treatment is only observed with error. We show that, provided the observed running variable (i) correctly classifies the treatment assignment, and (ii) affects the conditional means of the potential outcomes smoothly, ignoring the measurement error nonetheless yields an estimate with a causal interpretation: the average treatment effect for units whose observed running variable equals to the cutoff. We show that, possibly after doughnut trimming, these assumptions accommodate a variety of settings where support of the measurement error is not too wide. We propose to conduct inference using bias-aware methods, which remain valid even when discreteness or irregular support in the observed running variable may lead to partial identification. We illustrate the results for both sharp and fuzzy designs in an empirical application.

Suggested Citation

  • Yingying Dong & Michal Koles'ar, 2021. "When Can We Ignore Measurement Error in the Running Variable?," Papers 2111.07388, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2111.07388
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Erich Battistin & Agar Brugiavini & Enrico Rettore & Guglielmo Weber, 2009. "The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2209-2226, December.
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    3. Davezies, Laurent & Le Barbanchon, Thomas, 2017. "Regression discontinuity design with continuous measurement error in the running variable," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 260-281.
    4. Steven Dieterle & Otávio Bartalotti & Quentin Brummet, 2020. "Revisiting the Effects of Unemployment Insurance Extensions on Unemployment: A Measurement-Error-Corrected Regression Discontinuity Approach," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 84-114, May.
    5. Andrew Gelman & Guido Imbens, 2019. "Why High-Order Polynomials Should Not Be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 447-456, July.
    6. Michal Kolesár & Christoph Rothe, 2018. "Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Discrete Running Variable," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(8), pages 2277-2304, August.
    7. Otávio Bartalotti & Quentin Brummet & Steven Dieterle, 2021. "A Correction for Regression Discontinuity Designs With Group-Specific Mismeasurement of the Running Variable," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 833-848, July.
    8. Yingying Dong, 2015. "Regression Discontinuity Applications with Rounding Errors in the Running Variable," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 422-446, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pastore, Chiara & Jones, Andrew M., 2023. "Human capital consequences of missing out on a grammar school education," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

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