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Sensitivity analysis of Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization problems

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Bartl
  • Samuel Drapeau
  • Jan Obloj
  • Johannes Wiesel

Abstract

We consider sensitivity of a generic stochastic optimization problem to model uncertainty. We take a non-parametric approach and capture model uncertainty using Wasserstein balls around the postulated model. We provide explicit formulae for the first order correction to both the value function and the optimizer and further extend our results to optimization under linear constraints. We present applications to statistics, machine learning, mathematical finance and uncertainty quantification. In particular, we provide explicit first-order approximation for square-root LASSO regression coefficients and deduce coefficient shrinkage compared to the ordinary least squares regression. We consider robustness of call option pricing and deduce a new Black-Scholes sensitivity, a non-parametric version of the so-called Vega. We also compute sensitivities of optimized certainty equivalents in finance and propose measures to quantify robustness of neural networks to adversarial examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2020. "Sensitivity analysis of Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization problems," Papers 2006.12022, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2006.12022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2018. "Robust estimation of superhedging prices," Papers 1807.04211, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    2. Pierre-André Chiappori & Robert McCann & Lars Nesheim, 2010. "Hedonic price equilibria, stable matching, and optimal transport: equivalence, topology, and uniqueness," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 42(2), pages 317-354, February.
    3. G. Carlier & I. Ekeland, 2010. "Matching for teams," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 42(2), pages 397-418, February.
    4. Aharon Ben-Tal & Marc Teboulle, 1986. "Expected Utility, Penalty Functions, and Duality in Stochastic Nonlinear Programming," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(11), pages 1445-1466, November.
    5. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    6. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    7. Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Computational aspects of robust optimized certainty equivalents and option pricing," Papers 1706.10186, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    8. Georg Pflug & David Wozabal, 2007. "Ambiguity in portfolio selection," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 435-442.
    9. Pflug, Georg Ch. & Pichler, Alois & Wozabal, David, 2012. "The 1/N investment strategy is optimal under high model ambiguity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 410-417.
    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6728 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kupper & Max Nendel & Alessandro Sgarabottolo, 2023. "Risk measures based on weak optimal transport," Papers 2312.05973, arXiv.org.
    2. Erhan Bayraktar & Tao Chen, 2022. "Nonparametric Adaptive Robust Control Under Model Uncertainty," Papers 2202.10391, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    3. Ariel Neufeld & Matthew Ng Cheng En & Ying Zhang, 2024. "Robust SGLD algorithm for solving non-convex distributionally robust optimisation problems," Papers 2403.09532, arXiv.org.
    4. Fuhrmann, Sven & Kupper, Michael & Nendel, Max, 2021. "Wasserstein Perturbations of Markovian Transition Semigroups," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 649, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    5. Blessing, Jonas & Kupper, Michael & Nendel, Max, 2023. "Convergence of Infintesimal Generators and Stability of Convex Montone Semigroups," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 680, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    6. Daniel Bartl & Ariel Neufeld & Kyunghyun Park, 2023. "Sensitivity of robust optimization problems under drift and volatility uncertainty," Papers 2311.11248, arXiv.org.
    7. Daniel Bartl & Johannes Wiesel, 2022. "Sensitivity of multiperiod optimization problems in adapted Wasserstein distance," Papers 2208.05656, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.

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