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Computational aspects of robust optimized certainty equivalents and option pricing

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  • Daniel Bartl
  • Samuel Drapeau
  • Ludovic Tangpi

Abstract

Accounting for model uncertainty in risk management and option pricing leads to infinite dimensional optimization problems which are both analytically and numerically intractable. In this article we study when this hurdle can be overcome for the so-called optimized certainty equivalent risk measure (OCE) -- including the average value-at-risk as a special case. First we focus on the case where the uncertainty is modeled by a nonlinear expectation penalizing distributions that are "far" in terms of optimal-transport distance (Wasserstein distance for instance) from a given baseline distribution. It turns out that the computation of the robust OCE reduces to a finite dimensional problem, which in some cases can even be solved explicitly. This principle also applies to the shortfall risk measure as well as for the pricing of European options. Further, we derive convex dual representations of the robust OCE for measurable claims without any assumptions on the set of distributions. Finally, we give conditions on the latter set under which the robust average value-at-risk is a tail risk measure.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Computational aspects of robust optimized certainty equivalents and option pricing," Papers 1706.10186, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1706.10186
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcelo Brutti Righi & Fernanda Maria Muller & Marlon Ruoso Moresco, 2017. "On a robust risk measurement approach for capital determination errors minimization," Papers 1707.09829, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    2. Yu Feng & Ralph Rudd & Christopher Baker & Qaphela Mashalaba & Melusi Mavuso & Erik Schlögl, 2021. "Quantifying the Model Risk Inherent in the Calibration and Recalibration of Option Pricing Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, January.
    3. Bartl, Daniel, 2020. "Conditional nonlinear expectations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 785-805.
    4. Stephan Eckstein & Michael Kupper, 2018. "Computation of optimal transport and related hedging problems via penalization and neural networks," Papers 1802.08539, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
    5. Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2020. "Sensitivity analysis of Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization problems," Papers 2006.12022, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    6. Stephan Eckstein & Michael Kupper & Mathias Pohl, 2020. "Robust risk aggregation with neural networks," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1229-1272, October.
    7. Stephan Eckstein & Michael Kupper & Mathias Pohl, 2018. "Robust risk aggregation with neural networks," Papers 1811.00304, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    8. Marcelo Brutti Righi, 2018. "A theory for combinations of risk measures," Papers 1807.01977, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    9. Daniel Bartl & Johannes Wiesel, 2022. "Sensitivity of multiperiod optimization problems in adapted Wasserstein distance," Papers 2208.05656, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.

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