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Nonlocal Diffusions and The Quantum Black-Scholes Equation: Modelling the Market Fear Factor

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  • Will Hicks

Abstract

In this paper, we establish a link between quantum stochastic processes, and nonlocal diffusions. We demonstrate how the non-commutative Black-Scholes equation of Accardi & Boukas (Luigi Accardi, Andreas Boukas, 'The Quantum Black-Scholes Equation', Jun 2007, available at arXiv:0706.1300v1) can be written in integral form. This enables the application of the Monte-Carlo methods adapted to McKean stochastic differential equations (H. P. McKean, 'A class of Markov processes associated with nonlinear parabolic equations', Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 56(6):1907-1911, 1966) for the simulation of solutions. We show how unitary transformations can be applied to classical Black-Scholes systems to introduce novel quantum effects. These have a simple economic interpretation as a market `fear factor', whereby recent market turbulence causes an increase in volatility going forward, that is not linked to either the local volatility function or an additional stochastic variable. Lastly, we extend this system to 2 variables, and consider Quantum models for bid-offer spread dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Will Hicks, 2018. "Nonlocal Diffusions and The Quantum Black-Scholes Equation: Modelling the Market Fear Factor," Papers 1806.07983, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1806.07983
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Piotrowski, E.W & Sładkowski, J, 2002. "Quantum market games," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 312(1), pages 208-216.
    2. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    3. Baaquie, Belal E., 2006. "Price of coupon bond options in a quantum field theory of forward interest rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 370(1), pages 98-103.
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    Cited by:

    1. Will Hicks, 2019. "Closed Quantum Black-Scholes: Quantum Drift and the Heisenberg Equation of Motion," Papers 1911.11475, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    2. Will Hicks, 2020. "Pseudo-Hermiticity, Martingale Processes and Non-Arbitrage Pricing," Papers 2009.00360, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    3. Will Hicks, 2023. "Modelling Illiquid Stocks Using Quantum Stochastic Calculus," Papers 2302.05243, arXiv.org.

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