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Output Growth and Employment Fluctuations

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  • Hercowitz, Zvi
  • Sampson, Michael

Abstract

This paper develops and estimates with U.S. data a real business cycle model with endogenous long-term growth. The analysis is focused on the joint determination of output and hours of employment. The paper is an attempt to contribute to the integration of business cycle analysis with long-term growth considerations. A practical aspect of this integration pursued in the paper is the decomposition of the output series into permanent and transitory, or cyclical, components. This decomposition is performed in a bivariate (output growth, hours of employment), theory-constrained setup.

Suggested Citation

  • Hercowitz, Zvi & Sampson, Michael, 1987. "Output Growth and Employment Fluctuations," Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers 275430, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:isfiwp:275430
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.275430
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. Beveridge, Stephen & Nelson, Charles R., 1981. "A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle'," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 151-174.
    3. Orley Ashenfelter, 1984. "Macroeconomic Analyses and Microeconomic Analyses of Labor Supply," Working Papers 553, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
    4. Ashenfelter, Orley, 1984. "Macroeconomic analyses and microeconomic analyses of labor supply," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 117-156, January.
    5. Heckman, James J, 1976. "A Life-Cycle Model of Earnings, Learning, and Consumption," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(4), pages 11-44, August.
    6. MaCurdy, Thomas E, 1981. "An Empirical Model of Labor Supply in a Life-Cycle Setting," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(6), pages 1059-1085, December.
    7. Watson, Mark W., 1986. "Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 49-75, July.
    8. Nelson, Charles R. & Plosser, Charles I., 1982. "Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series : Some evidence and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 139-162.
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