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Predicting the quality and prices of Bordeaux wines

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  • Ashenfelter, Orley

Abstract

Bordeaux wines have been made in much the same way for centuries. This article shows that the variability in the quality and prices of Bordeaux vintages is predicted by the weather that created the grapes. The price equation provides a measure of the real rate of return to holding wines (about 2–3% per annum) and implies far greater variability in the early or ‘en primeur’ wine prices than is observed. The analysis provides a useful basis for assessing market inefficiency, the effect of climate change on the wine industry and the role of expert opinion in determining wine prices.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37297
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by American Association of Wine Economists in its series Working Papers with number 37297.

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Date of creation: Apr 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ags:aawewp:37297

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Web page: http://www.wine-economics.org
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Related research

Keywords: wine quality; wine prices; weather; Bordeaux wine; wine auctions; Demand and Price Analysis; Environmental Economics and Policy;

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Cited by:
  1. Kuminoff, Nicolai V. & Pope, Jaren C., 2012. "A novel approach to identifying hedonic demand parameters," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 374-376.
  2. Chen, Natalie & Juvenal, Luciana, 2013. "Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," CEPR Discussion Papers 9744, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Dimson, Elroy & Rousseau, Peter L. & Spaenjers, Christophe, 2013. "The Price of Wine," Working Papers 164656, American Association of Wine Economists.
  4. Richard Friberg & Erik Gr�nqvist, 2012. "Do Expert Reviews Affect the Demand for Wine?," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 193-211, January.
  5. Dubois, Pierre & Nauges, Céline, 2010. "Identifying the effect of unobserved quality and expert reviews in the pricing of experience goods: Empirical application on Bordeaux wine," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 205-212, May.
  6. Giovanni Mastrobuoni & Franco Peracchi & Aleksey Tetenov, 2012. "Price as a signal of product quality: some experimental evidence," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 268, Collegio Carlo Alberto, revised 2013.
  7. Corsi, Alessandro & Strøm, Steinar, 2013. "The Price Premium for Organic Wines: Estimating a Hedonic Farm-gate Price Equation," Memorandum 07/2013, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  8. Laurent Gobillon & François-Charles Wolff & Patrice Guillotreau, 2013. "The anatomy of prices on the French fish market," PSE Working Papers halshs-00839147, HAL.
  9. Nicola Cetorelli, 2009. "Credit Market Competition and the Nature of Firms," Working Papers 09-07, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
  10. Jean-Michel Chevet & Sebastien Lecocq & Michael Visser, 2011. "Climate, Grapevine Phenology, Wine Production, and Prices: Pauillac (1800-2009)," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 142-46, May.
  11. repec:cge:warwcg:164 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Antonis Michis & Anna Markidou, 2013. "Determinants of retail wine prices: evidence from Cyprus," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 267-280, August.
  13. Franken, Jason R. V. & Bacon, Kevin J., 2014. "Organizational Structure and Operation of the Illinois Wine Industry," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 43(1), April.
  14. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00839147 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Andrew Berg & Enrico Berkes & Catherine A. Pattillo & Andrea Presbitero & Yorbol Yakhshilikov, 2014. "Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 14/48, International Monetary Fund.

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