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Modelling trades-through in a limit order book using hawkes processes

Author

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  • Toke, Ioane Muni
  • Pomponio, Fabrizio

Abstract

The authors model trades-through, i.e. transactions that reach at least the second level of limit orders in an order book. Using tick-by-tick data on Euronext-traded stocks, they show that a simple bivariate Hawkes process fits nicely their empirical observations of tradesthrough. The authors show that the cross-influence of bid and ask trades-through is weak.

Suggested Citation

  • Toke, Ioane Muni & Pomponio, Fabrizio, 2012. "Modelling trades-through in a limit order book using hawkes processes," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-23.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201222
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2012-22
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Chang & Etienne Pienaar & Tim Gebbie, 2020. "Using the Epps effect to detect discrete processes," Papers 2005.10568, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    2. Xuefeng Gao & Xiang Zhou & Lingjiong Zhu, 2017. "Transform Analysis for Hawkes Processes with Applications in Dark Pool Trading," Papers 1710.01452, arXiv.org.
    3. Ioane Muni Toke, 2016. "Reconstruction of Order Flows using Aggregated Data," Post-Print hal-01705074, HAL.
    4. Dieter Hendricks & Tim Gebbie & Diane Wilcox, 2015. "Detecting intraday financial market states using temporal clustering," Papers 1508.04900, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
    5. Chávez-Casillas, Jonathan A. & Figueroa-López, José E., 2017. "A one-level limit order book model with memory and variable spread," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(8), pages 2447-2481.
    6. Roueff, Francois & von Sachs, Rainer & Sansonnet, Laure, 2015. "Time-frequency analysis of locally stationary Hawkes processes," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2015011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    7. Ioane Muni Toke, 2016. "Reconstruction of Order Flows using Aggregated Data," Papers 1604.02759, arXiv.org.
    8. Aymen Jedidi & Frédéric Abergel, 2013. "Stability and price scaling limit of a Hawkes-process based order book model," Working Papers hal-00821607, HAL.
    9. Ponta, Linda & Trinh, Mailan & Raberto, Marco & Scalas, Enrico & Cincotti, Silvano, 2019. "Modeling non-stationarities in high-frequency financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 173-196.
    10. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Marked point processes and intensity ratios for limit order book modeling," Papers 2001.08442, arXiv.org.
    11. Haghighi, Afshin & Fallahpour, Saeid & Eyvazlu, Reza, 2016. "Modelling order arrivals at price limits using Hawkes processes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 267-272.
    12. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2022. "Marked point processes and intensity ratios for limit order book modeling," Post-Print hal-02465428, HAL.
    13. Timoth'ee Fabre & Ioane Muni Toke, 2024. "Neural Hawkes: Non-Parametric Estimation in High Dimension and Causality Analysis in Cryptocurrency Markets," Papers 2401.09361, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    14. Bilodeau, Yann, 2020. "Deep limit order book events dynamics," Working Papers 20-4, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
    15. Shunya Chomei, 2023. "Empirical analysis in limit order book modeling for Nikkei 225 Stocks with Cox-type intensities," Papers 2302.01668, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    16. Ivan Jericevich & Patrick Chang & Tim Gebbie, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of a point-process market-model with a matching engine," Papers 2105.02211, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    17. Fan Fang & Waichung Chung & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & Lingbo Li & Fan Wu, 2020. "Ascertaining price formation in cryptocurrency markets with DeepLearning," Papers 2003.00803, arXiv.org.
    18. Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    19. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Analyzing order flows in limit order books with ratios of Cox-type intensities," Post-Print hal-01799398, HAL.
    20. Giacomo Bormetti & Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Michele Treccani & Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2013. "Modelling systemic price cojumps with Hawkes factor models," Papers 1301.6141, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    21. Roueff, François & von Sachs, Rainer & Sansonnet, Laure, 2016. "Locally stationary Hawkes processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(6), pages 1710-1743.
    22. Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Giacomo Bormetti & Michele Treccani & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2015. "Collective synchronization and high frequency systemic instabilities in financial markets," Papers 1505.00704, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hawkes processes; limit order book; trades-through; high-frequency trading; microstructure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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