IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/riskan/v37y2017i8p1495-1507.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Big Data Analysis Approach for Rail Failure Risk Assessment

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Jamshidi
  • Shahrzad Faghih‐Roohi
  • Siamak Hajizadeh
  • Alfredo Núñez
  • Robert Babuska
  • Rolf Dollevoet
  • Zili Li
  • Bart De Schutter

Abstract

Railway infrastructure monitoring is a vital task to ensure rail transportation safety. A rail failure could result in not only a considerable impact on train delays and maintenance costs, but also on safety of passengers. In this article, the aim is to assess the risk of a rail failure by analyzing a type of rail surface defect called squats that are detected automatically among the huge number of records from video cameras. We propose an image processing approach for automatic detection of squats, especially severe types that are prone to rail breaks. We measure the visual length of the squats and use them to model the failure risk. For the assessment of the rail failure risk, we estimate the probability of rail failure based on the growth of squats. Moreover, we perform severity and crack growth analyses to consider the impact of rail traffic loads on defects in three different growth scenarios. The failure risk estimations are provided for several samples of squats with different crack growth lengths on a busy rail track of the Dutch railway network. The results illustrate the practicality and efficiency of the proposed approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Jamshidi & Shahrzad Faghih‐Roohi & Siamak Hajizadeh & Alfredo Núñez & Robert Babuska & Rolf Dollevoet & Zili Li & Bart De Schutter, 2017. "A Big Data Analysis Approach for Rail Failure Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(8), pages 1495-1507, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:8:p:1495-1507
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12836
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12836
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/risa.12836?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shital A. Thekdi & James H. Lambert, 2012. "Decision Analysis and Risk Models for Land Development Affecting Infrastructure Systems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(7), pages 1253-1269, July.
    2. Shengxiang She & Chaoqun Ma & Desheng Dash Wu, 2010. "General Probability‐Time Tradeoff and Intertemporal Risk‐Value Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 421-431, March.
    3. Qian Zhou & James H. Lambert & Christopher W. Karvetski & Jeffrey M. Keisler & Igor Linkov, 2012. "Flood Protection Diversification to Reduce Probabilities of Extreme Losses," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(11), pages 1873-1887, November.
    4. Enrique López Droguett & Ali Mosleh, 2008. "Bayesian Methodology for Model Uncertainty Using Model Performance Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(5), pages 1457-1476, October.
    5. Atiq Siddiqui & Manish Verma, 2013. "An Expected Consequence Approach to Route Choice in the Maritime Transportation of Crude Oil," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(11), pages 2041-2055, November.
    6. Sergii Skakun & Nataliia Kussul & Andrii Shelestov & Olga Kussul, 2014. "Flood Hazard and Flood Risk Assessment Using a Time Series of Satellite Images: A Case Study in Namibia," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(8), pages 1521-1537, August.
    7. Michael Greenberg & Paul Lioy & Birnur Ozbas & Nancy Mantell & Sastry Isukapalli & Michael Lahr & Tayfur Altiok & Joseph Bober & Clifton Lacy & Karen Lowrie & Henry Mayer & Jennifer Rovito, 2013. "Passenger Rail Security, Planning, and Resilience: Application of Network, Plume, and Economic Simulation Models as Decision Support Tools," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(11), pages 1969-1986, November.
    8. Desheng Dash Wu & Xie Kefan & Chen Gang & Gui Ping, 2010. "A Risk Analysis Model in Concurrent Engineering Product Development," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(9), pages 1440-1453, September.
    9. Shahrzad Faghih-Roohi & Yew-Soon Ong & Sobhan Asian & Allan N. Zhang, 2016. "Dynamic conditional value-at-risk model for routing and scheduling of hazardous material transportation networks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 715-734, December.
    10. Patrick Hofstetter & James K. Hammitt, 2002. "Selecting Human Health Metrics for Environmental Decision‐Support Tools," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(5), pages 965-983, October.
    11. Reza Kazemi & Ali Mosleh, 2012. "Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Techniques," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(11), pages 1888-1900, November.
    12. Lianfa Li & Jinfeng Wang & Hareton Leung & Chengsheng Jiang, 2010. "Assessment of Catastrophic Risk Using Bayesian Network Constructed from Domain Knowledge and Spatial Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(7), pages 1157-1175, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jung, Seung Hwan & Yang, Yunsi, 2023. "On the value of operational flexibility in the trailer shipment and assignment problem: Data-driven approaches and reinforcement learning," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    2. Tsan‐Ming Choi & James H. Lambert, 2017. "Advances in Risk Analysis with Big Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(8), pages 1435-1442, August.
    3. Wu, Di & Yan, Xiangbin & Peng, Rui & Wu, Shaomin, 2020. "Risk-attitude-based defense strategy considering proactive strike, preventive strike and imperfect false targets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    4. Kusi-Sarpong, Simonov & Orji, Ifeyinwa Juliet & Gupta, Himanshu & Kunc, Martin, 2021. "Risks associated with the implementation of big data analytics in sustainable supply chains," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lam, C.Y. & Cruz, A.M., 2019. "Risk analysis for consumer-level utility gas and liquefied petroleum gas incidents using probabilistic network modeling: A case study of gas incidents in Japan," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 198-212.
    2. Michelle C. Hamilton & Shital A. Thekdi & Elisabeth M. Jenicek & Russell S. Harmon & Michael E. Goodsite & Michael P. Case & Christopher W. Karvetski & James H. Lambert, 2013. "Case studies of scenario analysis for adaptive management of natural resource and infrastructure systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 89-103, March.
    3. Vicki Bier, 2020. "The Role of Decision Analysis in Risk Analysis: A Retrospective," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(S1), pages 2207-2217, November.
    4. Enrique López Droguett & Ali Mosleh, 2014. "Bayesian Treatment of Model Uncertainty for Partially Applicable Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 252-270, February.
    5. Ruiling Sun & Ge Gao & Zaiwu Gong & Jie Wu, 2020. "A review of risk analysis methods for natural disasters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(2), pages 571-593, January.
    6. Chai, Naijie & Zhou, Wenliang & Hu, Xinlei, 2022. "Safety evaluation of urban rail transit operation considering uncertainty and risk preference: A case study in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 267-288.
    7. Mohri, Seyed Sina & Mohammadi, Mehrdad & Gendreau, Michel & Pirayesh, Amir & Ghasemaghaei, Ali & Salehi, Vahid, 2022. "Hazardous material transportation problems: A comprehensive overview of models and solution approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 302(1), pages 1-38.
    8. Hiba Baroud & Jose E. Ramirez‐Marquez & Kash Barker & Claudio M. Rocco, 2014. "Stochastic Measures of Network Resilience: Applications to Waterway Commodity Flows," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(7), pages 1317-1335, July.
    9. Yuzhakov, Vladimir (Южаков, Владимир) & Startsev, Y (Старцев, Я.), 2015. "Development of a Concept of an Interdisciplinary Research Program of Formation of Complex Methodologies and Techniques of Management Development in Public Administration [Разработка Концепции Межди," Published Papers mn37, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    10. Yongrok Choi & Xiaoxia Ye & Lu Zhao & Amanda Luo, 2016. "Optimizing enterprise risk management: a literature review and critical analysis of the work of Wu and Olson," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 281-300, February.
    11. Tasneem Bani-Mustafa & Nicola Pedroni & Enrico Zio & Dominique Vasseur & Francois Beaudouin, 2020. "A hierarchical tree-based decision-making approach for assessing the relative trustworthiness of risk assessment models," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(6), pages 748-763, December.
    12. Francesco Serinaldi & Florian Loecker & Chris G. Kilsby & Hubert Bast, 2018. "Flood propagation and duration in large river basins: a data-driven analysis for reinsurance purposes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 71-92, October.
    13. Desheng Wu, 2016. "Risk management and operations research: a review and introduction to the special volume," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 237(1), pages 1-5, February.
    14. Chen Wei & Sobhan Asian & Gurdal Ertek & Zhi-Hua Hu, 2020. "Location-based pricing and channel selection in a supply chain: a case study from the food retail industry," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 291(1), pages 959-984, August.
    15. Raffaella Calabrese & Galina Andreeva & Jake Ansell, 2019. "“Birds of a Feather” Fail Together: Exploring the Nature of Dependency in SME Defaults," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 71-84, January.
    16. Reza Kazemi & Ali Mosleh, 2012. "Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Techniques," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(11), pages 1888-1900, November.
    17. Ruiling Sun & Zaiwu Gong & Weiwei Guo & Ashfaq Ahmad Shah & Jie Wu & Haiying Xu, 2022. "Flood disaster risk assessment of and countermeasures toward Yangtze River Delta by considering index interaction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 475-500, May.
    18. Convertino, Matteo & Annis, Antonio & Nardi, Fernando, 2019. "Information-theoretic Portfolio Decision Model for Optimal Flood Management," Earth Arxiv k5aut, Center for Open Science.
    19. Qian Wang & Qi-peng Zhang & Yang-yang Liu & Lin-jing Tong & Yan-zhen Zhang & Xiao-yu Li & Jian-long Li, 2020. "Characterizing the spatial distribution of typical natural disaster vulnerability in China from 2010 to 2017," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 3-15, January.
    20. Michael Greenberg & Anthony Cox & Vicki Bier & Jim Lambert & Karen Lowrie & Warner North & Michael Siegrist & Felicia Wu, 2020. "Risk Analysis: Celebrating the Accomplishments and Embracing Ongoing Challenges," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(S1), pages 2113-2127, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:8:p:1495-1507. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1539-6924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.