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Perspectives on Risk Perceptions

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  • Gerald A. Cole
  • Stephen B. Withey

Abstract

Drawing on the literature from the fields of cognitive and social psychology, sociology, and political science, we discuss perceptions of risks and benefits, the impact of perceptions and personal preferences on choice and behavior, the question of “socially acceptable” thresholds of risk, and the analytic and descriptive means by which such thresholds might be identified. We hypothesize that existing psychometric methods may be adapted for the scaling of perceived benefit. We review factors hampering the application of formal methodologies in the resolution of controversial public debates, and express doubt about the identification of a socially acceptable threshold of risk. We argue that the emphasis of research in this field should be shifted toward explicating the use of risk and benefit perceptions in the process of personal decision‐making. Finally, we suggest several social science research approaches that may be used to address these issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald A. Cole & Stephen B. Withey, 1981. "Perspectives on Risk Perceptions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), pages 143-163, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:1:y:1981:i:2:p:143-163
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1981.tb01409.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Milton Friedman & L. J. Savage, 1948. "The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56, pages 279-279.
    3. Walker, Jack L., 1977. "Setting the Agenda in the U.S. Senate: A Theory of Problem Selection," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(4), pages 423-445, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harry Otway & Kerry Thomas, 1982. "Reflections on Risk Perception and Policy," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(2), pages 69-82, June.

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