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State budget periodicity: An analysis of the determinants and the effect on state spending

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  • Paula S. Kearns

    (Assistant Professor of Political Science at Michigan State University)

Abstract

Much of the public budgeting literature focuses on the institutional rules of budgeting and how those rules affect process and outcomes. This study focuses on a particularly rudimentary rule of budgeting: the length of the budget period. State budgets are dictated (constitutionally or statutorily) to recur over one-or two-year intervals. Statistical analysis of the determinants of state budget periodicity shows that the more states spend, ceteris paribus, the more likely they are to budget annually. I hypothesize that budget periodicity has the opposite effect on spending: Biennial budget states spend more, ceteris paribus, than annual budget states spend. Ordinary least squares analysis does not support the hypothesis, but with instrumental variable methods, biennial budgeting exhibits a positive and statistically significant effect on state spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Paula S. Kearns, 1994. "State budget periodicity: An analysis of the determinants and the effect on state spending," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(2), pages 331-362.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jpamgt:v:13:y:1994:i:2:p:331-362
    DOI: 10.2307/3325017
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    1. Would a Biennial Federal Budget Save Money?
      by Matt Mitchell in Neighborhood Effects on 2011-10-07 19:26:53

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    4. Ohad Raveh & Yacov Tsur, 2017. "Political Myopia, Public Debt," OxCarre Working Papers 200, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.

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