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Volatility index and the return–volatility relation: Intraday evidence from Chinese options market

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  • Jupeng Li
  • Xiaoli Yu
  • Xingguo Luo

Abstract

We use unique intraday data to investigate the validity of the Shanghai Stock Exchange's the revised Chinese implied volatility index (iVX). We find that iVX is an effective barometer for the underlying exchange‐traded fund (ETF) market and can be used as a valid “fear index” when there is anxiety over large drops. Furthermore, we use robust quantile regressions and document the asymmetric relation between returns and iVX changes. We also show that behavioral theories offer better explanations for this asymmetric relation than do fundamental theories. More important, we examine the role of iVX in selecting trading strategies.

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  • Jupeng Li & Xiaoli Yu & Xingguo Luo, 2019. "Volatility index and the return–volatility relation: Intraday evidence from Chinese options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(11), pages 1348-1359, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:39:y:2019:i:11:p:1348-1359
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22012
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    1. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Implied volatility indices – A review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 303-329.
    2. Long, Wen & Zhao, Manyi & Tang, Yeran, 2021. "Can the Chinese volatility index reflect investor sentiment?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Zhang, Xinxin & Bouri, Elie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Gongqiu, 2022. "The asymmetric relationship between returns and implied higher moments: Evidence from the crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    4. Xingguo Luo & Doojin Ryu & Libin Tao & Chuxin Ye, 2024. "Price monotonicity violations during stock market crashes: Evidence from the SSE 50 ETF options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 533-554, March.
    5. Ye, Wuyi & Xia, Wenjing & Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan, 2022. "Using implied volatility jumps for realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the Chinese market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Bin Wu & Pengzhan Chen & Wuyi Ye, 2021. "Jump activity analysis of the equity index and the corresponding volatility: Evidence from the Chinese market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1055-1073, July.
    7. Yue, Tian & Ruan, Xinfeng & Gehricke, Sebastian & Zhang, Jin E., 2023. "The volatility index and volatility risk premium in China," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 40-55.

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