IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/emetrp/v89y2021i3p1419-1447.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inference for Iterated GMM Under Misspecification

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce E. Hansen
  • Seojeong Lee

Abstract

This paper develops inference methods for the iterated overidentified Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator. We provide conditions for the existence of the iterated estimator and an asymptotic distribution theory, which allows for mild misspecification. Moment misspecification causes bias in conventional GMM variance estimators, which can lead to severely oversized hypothesis tests. We show how to consistently estimate the correct asymptotic variance matrix. Our simulation results show that our methods are properly sized under both correct specification and mild to moderate misspecification. We illustrate the method with an application to the model of Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson, and Yared (2008).

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce E. Hansen & Seojeong Lee, 2021. "Inference for Iterated GMM Under Misspecification," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1419-1447, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:89:y:2021:i:3:p:1419-1447
    DOI: 10.3982/ECTA16274
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA16274
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3982/ECTA16274?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lee, Seojeong, 2016. "Asymptotic refinements of a misspecification-robust bootstrap for GEL estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 86-104.
    2. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    3. Hansen, Lars Peter & Jagannathan, Ravi, 1997. "Assessing Specification Errors in Stochastic Discount Factor Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 557-590, June.
    4. Whitney K. Newey & Richard J. Smith, 2004. "Higher Order Properties of Gmm and Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(1), pages 219-255, January.
    5. Stéphane Bonhomme & Elena Manresa, 2015. "Grouped Patterns of Heterogeneity in Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83(3), pages 1147-1184, May.
    6. James J. Heckman & Edward Vytlacil, 2005. "Structural Equations, Treatment Effects, and Econometric Policy Evaluation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(3), pages 669-738, May.
    7. Andrews, Donald W.K., 1992. "Generic Uniform Convergence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 241-257, June.
    8. Xun Lu & Liangjun Su, 2017. "Determining the number of groups in latent panel structures with an application to income and democracy," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 8(3), pages 729-760, November.
    9. Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi, 2003. "The large sample behaviour of the generalized method of moments estimator in misspecified models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 361-394, June.
    10. White,Halbert, 1996. "Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521574464, January.
    11. Hwang, Jungbin & Kang, Byunghoon & Lee, Seojeong, 2022. "A doubly corrected robust variance estimator for linear GMM," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 276-298.
    12. Prosper Dovonon, 2016. "Large Sample Properties of the Three-Step Euclidean Likelihood Estimators under Model Misspecification," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 465-514, April.
    13. Yuichi Kitamura & Michael Stutzer, 1997. "An Information-Theoretic Alternative to Generalized Method of Moments Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(4), pages 861-874, July.
    14. Arthur Lewbel & Krishna Pendakur, 2009. "Tricks with Hicks: The EASI Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 827-863, June.
    15. Magne Mogstad & Andres Santos & Alexander Torgovitsky, 2018. "Using Instrumental Variables for Inference About Policy Relevant Treatment Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1589-1619, September.
    16. Imbens, Guido W & Angrist, Joshua D, 1994. "Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(2), pages 467-475, March.
    17. Sloczynski, Tymon, 2018. "A General Weighted Average Representation of the Ordinary and Two-Stage Least Squares Estimands," IZA Discussion Papers 11866, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    18. Acemoglu, Daron & Johnson, Simon & Robinson, James A. & Yared, Pierre, 2009. "Reevaluating the modernization hypothesis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(8), pages 1043-1058, November.
    19. James J. Heckman & Sergio Urzua & Edward Vytlacil, 2006. "Understanding Instrumental Variables in Models with Essential Heterogeneity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 88(3), pages 389-432, August.
    20. Ai, Chunrong & Chen, Xiaohong, 2007. "Estimation of possibly misspecified semiparametric conditional moment restriction models with different conditioning variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 5-43, November.
    21. Guido W. Imbens & Richard H. Spady & Phillip Johnson, 1998. "Information Theoretic Approaches to Inference in Moment Condition Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(2), pages 333-358, March.
    22. White, Halbert, 1980. "Using Least Squares to Approximate Unknown Regression Functions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(1), pages 149-170, February.
    23. Aguirre-Torres, Víctor & Toribio, Manuel Domínguez, 2004. "Efficient Method Of Moments In Misspecified I.I.D. Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 513-534, June.
    24. White, Halbert, 1982. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, January.
    25. Seojeong Lee, 2018. "A Consistent Variance Estimator for 2SLS When Instruments Identify Different LATEs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 400-410, July.
    26. Frank Windmeijer, 2000. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear two-step GMM estimators," IFS Working Papers W00/19, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    27. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    28. Hansen, Bruce E. & Lee, Seojeong, 2019. "Asymptotic theory for clustered samples," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 268-290.
    29. Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Ruoyao Shi, 2019. "On uniform asymptotic risk of averaging GMM estimators," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(3), pages 931-979, July.
    30. Lee, Seojeong, 2014. "Asymptotic refinements of a misspecification-robust bootstrap for generalized method of moments estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 398-413.
    31. Dominitz, Jeff & Sherman, Robert P., 2005. "Some Convergence Theory For Iterative Estimation Procedures With An Application To Semiparametric Estimation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 838-863, August.
    32. Joshua Angrist & Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Fernández-Val, 2006. "Quantile Regression under Misspecification, with an Application to the U.S. Wage Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 539-563, March.
    33. Hansen, Lars Peter & Heaton, John & Yaron, Amir, 1996. "Finite-Sample Properties of Some Alternative GMM Estimators," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 262-280, July.
    34. Susanne M. Schennach, 2007. "Point estimation with exponentially tilted empirical likelihood," Papers 0708.1874, arXiv.org.
    35. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    36. Windmeijer, Frank, 2005. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 25-51, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Jacques Forneron & Liang Zhong, 2023. "Convexity Not Required: Estimation of Smooth Moment Condition Models," Papers 2304.14386, arXiv.org.
    2. Alexandra Lavinia Horobeț & Irina Mnohoghitnei & Emanuela Marinela Luminița Zlatea & Alexandra Smedoiu-Popoviciu, 2023. "Determinants of E-Government Use in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Kwon, Ohyun & Yoon, Jangsu & Yotov, Yoto, 2022. "A Generalized Poisson-Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimator," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2022-13, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    4. Magnolfi, Lorenzo & Sullivan, Christopher, 2022. "A comparison of testing and estimation of firm conduct," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    5. Valentin Courgeau & Almut E.D. Veraart, 2022. "Asymptotic theory for the inference of the latent trawl model for extreme values," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1448-1495, December.
    6. Frank Kleibergen & Zhaoguo Zhan, 2022. "Misspecification and Weak Identification in Asset Pricing," Papers 2206.13600, arXiv.org.
    7. Sulistiyo K. Ardiyono & Arianto A. Patunru, 2022. "The impact of employment protection on FDI at different stages of economic development," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(12), pages 3679-3714, December.
    8. Bao, Yong & Yu, Xuewen, 2023. "Indirect inference estimation of dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1027-1053.
    9. Muhammad Zahid Rafique & Nicolas Schneider & Umer Shahzad & Malin Song, 2022. "High‐tech industries, financial expansion, and low‐carbon energy deployment along the Belt and Road Initiative," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1779-1795, December.
    10. Frank Kleibergen & Zhaoguo Zhan, 2021. "Double robust inference for continuous updating GMM," Papers 2105.08345, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bruce E. Hansen & Seojeong Jay Lee, 2018. "Inference for Iterated GMM Under Misspecification and Clustering," Discussion Papers 2018-07, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    2. Hwang, Jungbin & Kang, Byunghoon & Lee, Seojeong, 2022. "A doubly corrected robust variance estimator for linear GMM," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 276-298.
    3. Lee, Seojeong, 2016. "Asymptotic refinements of a misspecification-robust bootstrap for GEL estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 86-104.
    4. Seojeong Lee, 2018. "Asymptotic Refinements of a Misspecification-Robust Bootstrap for Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators," Papers 1806.00953, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
    5. A. Felipe & N. Martín & P. Miranda & L. Pardo, 2018. "Testing with Exponentially Tilted Empirical Likelihood," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1319-1358, December.
    6. Mardi Dungey & Vitali Alexeev & Jing Tian & Alastair R. Hall, 2015. "Econometricians Have Their Moments: GMM at 32," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91, pages 1-24, June.
    7. Alastair R. Hall, 2015. "Econometricians Have Their Moments: GMM at 32," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 1-24, June.
    8. Nikolay Gospodinov & Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2018. "Asymptotic variance approximations for invariant estimators in uncertain asset-pricing models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(7), pages 695-718, August.
    9. Prosper Dovonon, 2016. "Large Sample Properties of the Three-Step Euclidean Likelihood Estimators under Model Misspecification," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 465-514, April.
    10. Lavergne, Pascal, 2015. "Assessing the Approximate Validity of Moment Restrictions," TSE Working Papers 15-562, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised May 2020.
    11. Guilhem Bascle, 2008. "Controlling for endogeneity with instrumental variables in strategic management research," Post-Print hal-00576795, HAL.
    12. Kazuhiko Hayakawa & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2012. "Robust Standard Errors in Transformed Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models," Working Paper series 38_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    13. Antoine, Bertille & Dovonon, Prosper, 2021. "Robust estimation with exponentially tilted Hellinger distance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 330-344.
    14. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2015. "Robust standard errors in transformed likelihood estimation of dynamic panel data models with cross-sectional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 111-134.
    15. Hahn, Jinyong & Newey, Whitney K. & Smith, Richard J., 2014. "Neglected heterogeneity in moment condition models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 86-100.
    16. Hwang, Jungbin, 2021. "Simple and trustworthy cluster-robust GMM inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 993-1023.
    17. Andreas Tryphonides, 2018. "Tilting Approximate Models," Papers 1805.10869, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    18. Hwang, Jungbin & Valdés, Gonzalo, 2023. "Finite-sample corrected inference for two-step GMM in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 327-352.
    19. Whitney K. Newey & Frank Windmeijer, 2005. "GMM with many weak moment conditions," CeMMAP working papers CWP18/05, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    20. Otsu, Taisuke, 2010. "On Bahadur efficiency of empirical likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 248-256, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:89:y:2021:i:3:p:1419-1447. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/essssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.