IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wfo/monber/y2010i1p47-59.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Allmähliche Erholung nach schwerer Rezession. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2014

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Baumgartner
  • Serguei Kaniovski
  • Hans Pitlik

Abstract

Die Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanzmarktkrise dämpfen das Wirtschaftswachstum in Österreich mittelfristig. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird von 2010 bis 2014 real um durchschnittlich 1,8% pro Jahr expandieren. Auf den Arbeitsmarkt und die öffentlichen Haushalte wirkt die Rezession noch längere Zeit nach. Die Inflationsrate wird dagegen niedrig bleiben. Die Prognose nimmt an, dass nach Überwindung der Krise ab dem Jahr 2011 Maßnahmen zur Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte gesetzt werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2010. "Allmähliche Erholung nach schwerer Rezession. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2014," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 83(1), pages 47-59, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2010:i:1:p:47-59
    Note: With English abstract.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/38125
    File Function: abstract
    Download Restriction: Payment required
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. C. John McDermott & Robert F. Wescott, 1996. "An Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Adjustments," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(4), pages 725-753, December.
    2. Fritz Breuss & Serguei Kaniovski & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2009. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Effekte der Konjunkturbelebungsmaßnahmen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 82(9), pages 675-686, September.
    3. Helmut Mahringer, 2009. "Der Arbeitsmarkt in der Finanzmarkt- und Wirtschaftskrise," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 82(12), pages 967-978, December.
    4. Rosaria Rita Canale & Pasquale Foresti & Ugo Marani & Oreste Napolitano, 2008. "On keynesian effects of (apparent) non-keynesian fiscal policies," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 5-46.
    5. Markus Marterbauer, 2010. "Stabilisierung der Konjunktur, kein dynamischer Aufschwung. Prognose für 2010 und 2011," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 83(1), pages 3-16, January.
    6. Doris Prammer, 2004. "Expansionary Fiscal Consolidations? An Appraisal of the Literature on Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy and a Case Study for Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 34-52.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2010. "Gradual Recovery Following Severe Recession. Medium-Term Projections for the Austrian Economy until 2014," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 15(1), pages 13-24, February.
    2. Maria Neicheva, 2006. "Non-Keynesian Effects of Government Expenditure on Output in Bulgaria: An HP Filter Approach," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 1-12.
    3. Neicheva, Maria, 2007. "Non-Keynesian effects of Government Spending: Some implications for the Stability and Growth Pact," MPRA Paper 5277, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Maria Neycheva, 2007. "Impact of Fiscal Policy on the Cumulative Production in the Bulgarian Economy," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 82-101.
    5. António Afonso, 2007. "An Avenue for Expansionary Fiscal Contractions," The IUP Journal of Public Finance, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3), pages 7-15, August.
    6. De Bandt, Olivier & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2000. "Convergence of fiscal policies in the euro area," Working Paper Series 20, European Central Bank.
    7. Alex Segura-Ubiergo & Alejandro Simone & Sanjeev Gupta & Qiang Cui, 2010. "New Evidence on Fiscal Adjustment and Growth in Transition Economies," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 52(1), pages 18-37, March.
    8. Klaus Nowotny, 2011. "FAMO – Fachkräftemonitoring. Regelmäßige Erhebung des Angebots und des Bedarfs an Fachkräften in der Grenzregion Ostösterreichs mit der Slowakei. FAMO II: Auswirkungen der Finanzmarkt- und Wirtschafts," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 42875, April.
    9. Asztalos, Viktor, 2015. "Politikai változások a költségvetési kiigazítások tükrében [Political changes in the light of fiscal adjustments]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1196-1210.
    10. Hüseyin ŞEN & Ayşe KAYA, 2017. "Mali Konsolidasyon Büyüme ve İstihdam için Bir Çıpa mı, Mali Tuzak mı? Teorik ve Ampirik Literatür Temelli Bir Analiz," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 25(34).
    11. Miss Catriona Purfield, 2003. "Fiscal Adjustment in Transition Countries: Evidence From the 1990's," IMF Working Papers 2003/036, International Monetary Fund.
    12. N. N., 2017. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 5/2017," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 90(5), May.
    13. Charles Amo Yartey & Mr. Machiko Narita & Mr. Shelton M Nicholls & Mr. Joel Chiedu Okwuokei, 2012. "The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean," IMF Working Papers 2012/276, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Kalle Kukk, 2007. "Fiscal Policy Effects on Economic Growth: Short Run vs Long Run," Working Papers 167, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology.
    15. Rasmus Wiese & Richard Jong-A-Pin & Jakob de Haan, 2015. "Are expenditure cuts the only effective way to achieve successful fiscal adjustment," DNB Working Papers 477, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    16. Sebastian Dellepiane & Niamh Hardiman, 2012. "Fiscal Politics In Time: Pathways to Fiscal Consolidation, 1980-2012," Working Papers 201228, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
    17. Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Mr. Alejandro Simone & Mr. Alex Segura-Ubiergo, 2006. "New Evidence on Fiscal Adjustment and Growth in Transition Economies," IMF Working Papers 2006/244, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Angela Köppl & Stefan Schleicher & Margit Schratzenstaller & Karl W. Steininger, 2020. "COVID-19, Klimawandel und Konjunkturpakete," WIFO Research Briefs 1, WIFO.
    19. Geiger, Martin & Luhan, Wolfgang J. & Scharler, Johann, 2016. "When do fiscal consolidations lead to consumption booms? Lessons from a laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-20.
    20. Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Mr. Erwin H Tiongson & Mr. Emanuele Baldacci, 2003. "What Sustains Fiscal Consolidations in Emerging Market Countries?," IMF Working Papers 2003/224, International Monetary Fund.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2010:i:1:p:47-59. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Florian Mayr (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wifooat.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.