IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vls/rojfme/v10y2022i1p93-97.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact Of The Fiscal Policy Change On The Main Macroeconomic Variables

Author

Listed:
  • TRIFU, Cosmin

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Doctoral School of Finance, Romania)

  • BLAGA, Florin

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Doctoral School of Finance, Romania)

  • MIHAI, Georgian Danut

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Doctoral School of Finance, Romania)

  • NEACSU, George Alexandru

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Doctoral School of Finance, Romania)

  • BICHIR-GHELASE, Antonela

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Doctoral School of Finance, Romania)

Abstract

In this article we propose an empirical study using a Bayesian VAR type model with which we quantify the impact of fiscal policy changes on the main macroeconomic variables, namely the exchange rate, market interest rates, inflation, unemployment, etc. The results show us that most shocks extinguish at the time of monetary policy interventions of the opposite direction to the type of fiscal policy.

Suggested Citation

  • TRIFU, Cosmin & BLAGA, Florin & MIHAI, Georgian Danut & NEACSU, George Alexandru & BICHIR-GHELASE, Antonela, 2022. "The Impact Of The Fiscal Policy Change On The Main Macroeconomic Variables," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 10(1), pages 93-97, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:vls:rojfme:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:93-97
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.icfm.ro/RePEc/vls/vls_pdf_jfme/vol10i1p93-97.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Akanbi, Olusegun Ayodele, 2013. "Macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy changes: A case of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 771-785.
    2. Olivier Blanchard & Roberto Perotti, 2002. "An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1329-1368.
    3. Oscar Parkyn & Tugrul Vehbi, 2014. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy in New Zealand: Evidence from a VAR Model with Debt Constraints," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 90(290), pages 345-364, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. BOUNADER, Lahcen, 2016. "Is there a crowding-out effect in the Moroccan context ? Evidence from structural VAR Analysis," MPRA Paper 69275, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Stanova, Nadja, 2015. "Effects of fiscal shocks in new EU members estimated from a SVARX model with debt feedback," MPRA Paper 63148, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Groenewold, Nicolaas, 2018. "Australia saved from the financial crisis by policy or by exports?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 118-135.
    4. D. J. Penzin & E. T. Adamgbe, 2019. "Estimation of Fiscal Multipliers and Its Macroeconomic Impact: The Case of Nigeria," Economic and Financial Review, Central Bank of Nigeria, vol. 57(2), June.
    5. Sebastian Gechert & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2014. "Are Fiscal Multipliers Regime-Dependent? A Meta Regression Analysis," IMK Working Paper 139-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    6. Serena Merrino, 2021. "State-dependent fiscal multipliers and financial dynamics: An impulse response analysis by local projections for South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-77, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Olorunfemi Yasiru ALIMI & Olumuyiwa Ganiyu YINUSA & Ishola Rufus AKINTOYE & Olalekan Bashir AWORINDE, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes in Nigeria," The Journal of Accounting and Management, Danubius University of Galati, issue 3, pages 85-94, December.
    8. Jamie Murray, 2013. "Parameter Uncertainty and the Fiscal Multiplier," Treasury Working Paper Series 13/19, New Zealand Treasury.
    9. Serena Merrino, 2021. "Statedependent fiscal multipliers and financial dynamics An impulse response analysis by local projections for South Africa," Working Papers 11015, South African Reserve Bank.
    10. Anna Hamer-Adams & Martin Wong, 2018. "Quantifying fiscal multipliers in New Zealand: The evidence from SVAR models," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    11. Jamel JOUINI, 2018. "Measuring the Macroeconomic Impacts of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Saudi Economy : A Markov Switching Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 55-70, December.
    12. Martin Fukač & Robert Kirkby, 2017. "Accounting for Uncertainty in Public Debt Targets," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 50(1), pages 89-102, March.
    13. Alfred A. Haug & India Power, 2022. "Government Spending Multipliers in Times of Tight and Loose Monetary Policy in New Zealand," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(322), pages 249-270, September.
    14. Alexis Habiyaremye & Olebogeng Molewa & Pelontle Lekomanyane, 2022. "Estimating Employment Gains of the Proposed Infrastructure Stimulus Plan in Post-Covid-19 South Africa," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(1), pages 540-567, February.
    15. Tumisang Loate & Romain Houssa & Nicola Viegi, 2021. "The macroeconomic effect of fiscal policy in South Africa: A narrative analysis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-156, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Fernando Broner & Daragh Clancy & Aitor Erce & Alberto Martin, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Foreign Holdings of Public Debt [When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(3), pages 1155-1204.
    17. Antonella Cavallo & Antonio Ribba, 2017. "Measuring the Effects of Oil Price and Euro-area Shocks on CEECs Business Cycles," Department of Economics 0111, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    18. Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2019. "Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Spending Multipliers: What Have We Learned?," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 1-34, May.
    19. Evans, Charles L. & Marshall, David A., 2007. "Economic determinants of the nominal treasury yield curve," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1986-2003, October.
    20. Antonio Spilimbergo & Steve Symansky & Olivier Blanchard & Carlo Cottarelli, 2009. "Fiscal Policy For The Crisis," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 10(02), pages 26-32, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian VAR; Fiscal Policy; Monetary Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vls:rojfme:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:93-97. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Daniel Mateescu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cfiarro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.