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Is the effect of exchange rate volatility on export diversification symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from Ghana

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  • Camara Kwasi Obeng

Abstract

Exchange rate volatility has been identified as one of the drivers of export diversification. Previous studies have assumed a symmetric relationship between the two variables. However, because volatility could be positive or negative and economic agents react to these changes differently, recent studies argue for the adoption of an asymmetric approach to the study of the relationship between the two variables. This study employed the partial sum process to create two variables to replace exchange rate volatility (Positive and negative variables) and utilized the Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) techniques to investigate asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on export diversification in Ghana for the period 1983 to 2015. The results indicate that exchange rate volatility has asymmetric relationship with export diversification in Ghana. The study revealed that other drivers of export diversification in Ghana are income, investment, infrastructure, openness, and inflation. The paper recommends that the Central Bank should strengthen its efforts at stabilizing the exchange value of the cedi.

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  • Camara Kwasi Obeng, 2018. "Is the effect of exchange rate volatility on export diversification symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from Ghana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1460027-146, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1460027
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1460027
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    Cited by:

    1. Moeti Damane, 2022. "Investigating the determinants of commercial bank interest rate spreads in Lesotho: Evidence from autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non‐linear ARDL approaches," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4256-4278, October.
    2. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi & Obeng, Camara Kwasi & Armah, Mark Kojo, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and tax revenue: Evidence from Ghana," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(1).
    3. Isaac K. Ofori & Camara K. Obeng & Peter Y. Mwinlaaru, 2021. "Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Tax Revenue Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa," Research Africa Network Working Papers 21/031, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    4. Hossain, Saddam & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is the relationship between FDI and inflation nonlinear and asymmetric? new evidence from NARDL approach," MPRA Paper 112549, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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