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A non-linear defence-growth nexus? evidence from the US economy

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Author Info
Jesús Crespo Cuaresma
Gerhard Reitschuler

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Abstract

The defense-growth nexus is investigated empirically using time series data for the US and allowing the effect of defense spending on growth to be non-linear. Using recently developed econometric methods involving threshold regressions, evidence of a level-dependent effect of military expenditure on GDP growth is found: the positive externality effect of defense spending prevails for relatively lower levels of defense spending (with respect to the history of defense spending in the US) and reverts its influence for higher levels.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Defence and Peace Economics.

Volume (Year): 15 (2004)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 71-82
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Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:15:y:2004:i:1:p:71-82

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Related research
Keywords: Defense Expenditures; Nonlinearity; Economic Growth; Externality Effect; Threshold Models; Jel Codes; E20; E62; C22;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Andrews, Donald W K & Ploberger, Werner, 1994. "Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only under the Alternative," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1383-1414, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
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  3. Michael D. Stroup & Jac C. Heckelman, 2001. "Size Of The Military Sector And Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis Of Africa And Latin America," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 329-360, November. [Downloadable!]
  4. Joshua Aizenman & Reuven Glick, 2006. "Military expenditure, threats, and growth," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 129-155, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Shieh, Jhy-yuan & Lai, Ching-chong & Chang, Wen-ya, 2002. "The impact of military burden on long-run growth and welfare," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 443-454, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. J. Paul Dunne & Ron Smith & Dirk Willenbockel, 2005. "Models Of Military Expenditure And Growth: A Critical Review," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 449-461, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Giorgio d'Agostino & Luca Pieroni & J Paul Dunne, 2009. "Optimal Military Spending in the US: A Time Series Analysis," Discussion Papers 0903, University of the West of England, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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