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Testing the random walk hypothesis: evidence for the Budapest stock exchange

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  • E. Dockery
  • F. Vergari

Abstract

Variance ratio tests with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic error variances are used to examine the random walk hypothesis for the Budapest stock exchange. Our empirical findings show that the Budapest stock exchange is a random walk market, which is quite different from those described in the literature on both developed, smaller and emerging capital markets.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Dockery & F. Vergari, 1997. "Testing the random walk hypothesis: evidence for the Budapest stock exchange," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(10), pages 627-629.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:627-629
    DOI: 10.1080/758533288
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    Cited by:

    1. Kwong-C. Cheung & J. Andrew Coutts, 2001. "A note on weak form market efficiency in security prices: evidence from the Hong Kong stock exchange," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 407-410.
    2. Aymen Ben Rejeb & Adel Boughrara, 2014. "Financial liberalization and emerging stock market efficiency: an empirical analysis of structural changes," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 230-245, September.
    3. Mubariz Hasanov & Tolga Omay, 2007. "Are the Transition Stock Markets Efficient? Evidence from Non-Linear Unit Root Tests," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 7(2), pages 1-12.
    4. Ece C. KARADAGLI & Nazlı C. OMAY, 2012. "Testing Weak Form Market Efficiency Of Emerging Markets: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 7(3(21)/ Fa), pages 235-245.
    5. Jorge Caiado, 2004. "Modelling And Forecasting The Volatility Of The Portuguese Stock Index Psi-20," Portuguese Journal of Management Studies, ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, vol. 9(1), pages 3-21.
    6. Truong Dong Loc & Ger Lanjouw & Robert Lensink, 2010. "Stock-market efficiency in thin-trading markets: the case of the Vietnamese stock market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(27), pages 3519-3532.
    7. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Boughrara, Adel, 2013. "Financial liberalization and stock markets efficiency: New evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 186-208.
    8. Omay, Nazli C. & Karadagli, Ece C., 2010. "Testing Weak Form Market Efficiency for Emerging Economies: A Nonlinear Approach," MPRA Paper 27312, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ghani, Gairuzazmi Mat & Duasa, Jarita, 2016. "Investigating stock market efficiency: A look at OIC member countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 402-413.
    10. Jan Hájek, 2007. "Czech Capital Market Weak-Form Efficiency, Selected Issues," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2007(4), pages 303-318.
    11. B. Jirasakuldech & Riza Emekter & Unro Lee, 2008. "Business conditions and nonrandom walk behaviour of US stocks and bonds returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 659-672.
    12. Murinde V. & Poshakwala S., 2001. "Volatility in the Emerging Stock Markets in Central and Eastern Europe: Evidence on Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Slovakia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 73-102, July - De.
    13. Saadet Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu & A. Duygu Ayhan, 2009. "Long memory in stock returns: evidence from the major emerging Central European stock markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(17), pages 1763-1768.
    14. Sami Al Kharusi & Robert O. Weagley, 2014. "Weak Form Market Efficiency During the 2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Muscat Securities Market," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(4), pages 27-42.
    15. Graham Smith, 2012. "The changing and relative efficiency of European emerging stock markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 689-708, September.
    16. Graham Smith, 2009. "Martingales in European emerging stock markets: Size, liquidity and market quality," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 249-262.
    17. Nageri Kamaldeen Ibraheem & Abdulkadir Rihanat Idowu, 2019. "Is the Nigerian Stock Market Efficient? Pre and Post 2007-2009 Meltdown Analysis," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 29(3), pages 38-63, September.
    18. Graham Smith & Hyun-Jung Ryoo, 2003. "Variance ratio tests of the random walk hypothesis for European emerging stock markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 290-300.

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