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Asymmetric mean reversion in corporate profits

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  • Bradley Ewing
  • Mark Thompson

Abstract

This article applies the Enders and Granger (1998) unit root test against the stationary alternative with asymmetric adjustment to after-tax corporate profits. Both the standard Dickey-Fuller (1981) model and the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model reject the null hypothesis of a unit root; however, asymmetric mean reversion is found with the MTAR model. The findings are consistent with economic theories of entry and exit and traditional competitive macroeconomic models.

Suggested Citation

  • Bradley Ewing & Mark Thompson, 2007. "Asymmetric mean reversion in corporate profits," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(13), pages 935-938.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:935-938
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706271
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 2000. "Forecasting Profitability and Earnings," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73(2), pages 161-175, April.
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    4. Enders, Walter & Granger, Clive W J, 1998. "Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 304-311, July.
    5. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    6. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    7. Pippenger, Michael K & Goering, Gregory E, 1993. "A Note on the Empirical Power of Unit Root Tests under Threshold Processes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 55(4), pages 473-481, November.
    8. Gallagher, Liam A & Taylor, Mark P, 2001. "Risky Arbitrage, Limits of Arbitrage, and Nonlinear Adjustment in the Dividend-Price Ratio," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 524-536, October.
    9. Basu, Sudipta, 1997. "The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 3-37, December.
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