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Testing the stochastic convergence of Italian regions using panel data

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Mauro Costantini
Giuseppe Arbia

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Abstract

This paper examines stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for Italian regions using recent non-stationary panel data methodologies over the period 1951 to 2002. Economies stochastically converge when regional differences across economies are not persistent, and long-run movements in a region's real per capita GDP are driven by technological shocks. Four panel unit root tests are used to evaluate stochastic convergence and Monte Carlo simulation is performed to obtain critical values. The results indicate that there is no stochastic convergence among Italian regions. They also provide some evidence in favour of stochastic convergence of regions in the Northern part of Italy.

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 13 (2006)
Issue (Month): 12 (October)
Pages: 775-783
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:775-783

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Galor, Oded, 1996. "Convergence? Inferences from Theoretical Models," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 1056-69, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Paci, Raffaele & Pigliaru, Francesco, 1997. "Structural change and convergence: an Italian regional perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 297-318, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Bernard, Andrew B & Jones, Charles I, 1996. "Productivity across Industries and Countries: Time Series Theory and Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 135-46, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Barro, R.J. & Sala-I-Martin, X., 1991. "Convergence," Papers 645, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
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  5. Evans, Paul & Karras, Georgios, 1996. "Convergence revisited," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 249-265, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Andrew Levin & Chien-Fu Lin, 1992. "Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 92-23, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Matthew A. Cole & Eric Neumayer, 2003. "The pitfalls of convergence analysis: is the income gap really widening?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 355-357, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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