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The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Real Estate Development in China

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  • Miao Li
  • Gaoqiang Wu

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty on real estate development at the macro level in China. Using the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index released by Baker et al. (2016), we find that EPU has a leading and negative effect on real estate development investment. And there is a positive relationship between EPU innovations and the growth rate of real estate development investment. Moreover, the restraining effect of EPU is more pronounced in the state-owned enterprises’ investment and the part of construction and installation investment. Based on the empirical evidences, we suggest that government should pay attention to the negative impact of economic policy uncertainty and maintain consistency and stability of economic policies.  JEL classification numbers: D81, R31, R38, G31

Suggested Citation

  • Miao Li & Gaoqiang Wu, 2020. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Real Estate Development in China," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 1-2.
    • Handle: RePEc:spt:apfiba:v:10:y:2020:i:4:f:10_4_2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. David Su & Xin Li & Oana-Ramona Lobonþ & Yanping Zhao, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and housing returns in Germany: Evidence from a bootstrap rolling window," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 43-61.
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    Cited by:

    1. Whelsy Boungou & Charles Mawusi, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Banks' Interest Income: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 2003-2011.
    2. Jin, Ming & Yin, Mingmei & Chen, Zhongfei, 2021. "Do investors prefer borrowers from high level of trust cities? Evidence from China’s P2P market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Jieqiong Yang & Panzhu Luo & Yong Tan, 2020. "Contingent Decision of Corporate Environmental Responsibility Based on Uncertain Economic Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-18, October.
    4. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Deng, Chuang & Zhao, Xiuyi & Xu, Man, 2022. "Financial cycle and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    6. Batabyal, Sourav & Killins, Robert, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: Evidence from Canada," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    7. Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Apostolou, Apostolos & Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Ricci, Martino, 2023. "Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China," Working Paper Series 2767, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic policy uncertainty; Real estate development; Real option theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R38 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Government Policy
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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