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Wavelet Bootstrap Multiple Linear Regression Based Hybrid Modeling for Daily River Discharge Forecasting

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  • Vinit Sehgal
  • Mukesh Tiwari
  • Chandranath Chatterjee

Abstract

A new hybrid model, the wavelet–bootstrap–multiple linear regression (WBMLR) is proposed to explore the potential of wavelet analysis and bootstrap resampling techniques for daily discharge forecasting. The performance of the developed WBMLR model is also compared with five more models: multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network (ANN), wavelet-based MLR (WMLR), wavelet-based ANN (WANN) and wavelet–bootstrap–ANN (WBANN) models. Seven years of discharge data from seven gauging stations in the middle reaches of Mahanadi river basin in India are applied in this study. Significant input vectors are decomposed into discrete wavelet components (DWCs) using discrete wavelet transformation (DWT) to generate wavelet sub time series that are used as inputs to the MLR and ANN models to develop the WMLR and WANN models, respectively. Effective wavelets are selected by considering several types of wavelets with different vanishing moments. WBMLR and WBANN models are developed as ensemble of different WMLR and WANN models, respectively, developed using different realizations of the training dataset generated using bootstrap resampling technique. The results show that the wavelet bootstrap hybrid models (i.e. WBMLR and WBANN) produce significantly better results than the traditional MLR and ANN models. Hybrid models based on MLR (WMLR, WBMLR) perform better than the ANN based hybrid models (WBANN, WANN). The WBMLR and WMLR models simulate the peak discharges better than the WBANN, WANN, MLR and ANN models, whereas the overall performance of WBMLR model is found to be more accurate and reliable than the remaining five models. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

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  • Vinit Sehgal & Mukesh Tiwari & Chandranath Chatterjee, 2014. "Wavelet Bootstrap Multiple Linear Regression Based Hybrid Modeling for Daily River Discharge Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 2793-2811, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:10:p:2793-2811
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0638-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vinit Sehgal & Rajeev Sahay & Chandranath Chatterjee, 2014. "Effect of Utilization of Discrete Wavelet Components on Flood Forecasting Performance of Wavelet Based ANFIS Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1733-1749, April.
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    4. Hairong Zhang & Jianzhong Zhou & Lei Ye & Xiaofan Zeng & Yufan Chen, 2015. "Lower Upper Bound Estimation Method Considering Symmetry for Construction of Prediction Intervals in Flood Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5505-5519, December.
    5. Haibo Chu & Jiahua Wei & Yuan Jiang, 2021. "Middle- and Long-Term Streamflow Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis Using Lasso-DBN-Bootstrap Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(8), pages 2617-2632, June.
    6. Chuan Li & Yun Bai & Bo Zeng, 2016. "Deep Feature Learning Architectures for Daily Reservoir Inflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5145-5161, November.
    7. Adnan Bashir & Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad & Ijaz Hussain & Muhammad Ishaq Asif Rehmani & Sajjad Haider Bhatti, 2019. "Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Ensembling Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques to Multiple Linear Regression Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(15), pages 5121-5136, December.
    8. Lihui Zhang & Riletu Ge & Jianxue Chai, 2019. "Prediction of China’s Energy Consumption Based on Robust Principal Component Analysis and PSO-LSSVM Optimized by the Tabu Search Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, January.

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