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Application of System Dynamics with Impact Analysis to Solve the Problem of Water Shortages in Taiwan

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  • Chao-Chung Yang
  • Liang-Cheng Chang
  • Chih-Chao Ho

Abstract

The major two concerns for planning a successful water strategy in Taiwan are the modification of water shortages and a total financial cost, construction, and operating costs. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to formulate an appropriate strategy to seek a balance between mitigating water shortages and total financial cost. Accordingly, we propose a process for combining a system dynamics approach and impact analysis to evaluate water strategy systematically and quantitatively. Water shortages and total financial cost are referred to, as governments are responsible for the management of regional water resources. System dynamics is one approach that can help decision makers build a simulation model of a complex water supply system. The value of a water shortage and total cost to all possible planning strategies for future water demand can be obtained from system dynamics model simulation. The content of proposed impact analysis is used to design indexes that are able to indicate (1) the severity of a water shortage and (2) total financial cost. Examining the performance of proposed indexes, we can understand the interactive impact between these two objectives in every strategy and then select appropriate strategies. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed methodology is verified by solving a problem of water shortage and total financial cost in central Taiwan. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008

Suggested Citation

  • Chao-Chung Yang & Liang-Cheng Chang & Chih-Chao Ho, 2008. "Application of System Dynamics with Impact Analysis to Solve the Problem of Water Shortages in Taiwan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(11), pages 1561-1577, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:22:y:2008:i:11:p:1561-1577
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-008-9243-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
    2. Slobodan Simonovic & Hussam Fahmy & Amin El-Shorbagy, 1997. "The Use of Object-Oriented Modeling for Water Resources Planning in Egypt," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 11(4), pages 243-261, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maryam Ghashghaei & Ali Bagheri & Saeed Morid, 2013. "Rainfall-runoff Modeling in a Watershed Scale Using an Object Oriented Approach Based on the Concepts of System Dynamics," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5119-5141, December.
    2. Kaveh Madani & Miguel Mariño, 2009. "System Dynamics Analysis for Managing Iran’s Zayandeh-Rud River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(11), pages 2163-2187, September.
    3. Linlin Wang & Rongchang Wang & Haiyan Yan, 2021. "System-Dynamics Modeling for Exploring the Impact of Industrial-Structure Adjustment on the Water Quality of the River Network in the Yangtze Delta Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-20, July.
    4. Ali Bagheri & Moosa Darijani & Ali Asgary & Saeed Morid, 2010. "Crisis in Urban Water Systems during the Reconstruction Period: A System Dynamics Analysis of Alternative Policies after the 2003 Earthquake in Bam-Iran," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(11), pages 2567-2596, September.
    5. Liang-Cheng Chang & Chih-Chao Ho & Ming-Sheng Yeh & Chao-Chung Yang, 2011. "An Integrating Approach for Conjunctive-Use Planning of Surface and Subsurface Water System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 59-78, January.
    6. Elmira Hassanzadeh & Mahdi Zarghami & Yousef Hassanzadeh, 2012. "Determining the Main Factors in Declining the Urmia Lake Level by Using System Dynamics Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(1), pages 129-145, January.

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