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Temporal evolution in social vulnerability to natural hazards in Chile

Author

Listed:
  • Nicolás C. Bronfman

    (Universidad Andres Bello
    National Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017)

  • Paula B. Repetto

    (National Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017
    Universidad Católica de Chile)

  • Nikole Guerrero

    (National Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017)

  • Javiera V. Castañeda

    (Universidad Católica de Chile)

  • Pamela C. Cisternas

    (National Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), ANID/FONDAP/15110017
    Universidad Católica de Chile)

Abstract

One of the main challenges for studying social vulnerability to natural hazards is to capture their dynamic nature. In this study, we explore the spatial and temporal variations in social vulnerability in Chile for the last two decades. Using data reported in the previous three censuses, we have characterized social vulnerability using the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) for 2,464 districts throughout the country for 1992, 2002, and 2017. We examined spatial variations in social vulnerability through global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses. Our results reveal that social vulnerability in Chile are distributed heterogeneously throughout the territory as a result of the spatial and temporal interaction of different factors that reflect the social and economic contrasts of its communities. In addition, factors that explain higher or lower levels of social vulnerability in one period may persist or reduce its influence over time. Therefore, territories were highly vulnerable at one time to become less so at another. Finally, factors such as disability and immigration emerge as significant elements of social vulnerability at the end of the period under study. We discuss the implications of our findings for those institutions responsible for the development and implementation of disaster risk reduction plans, programs, and policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolás C. Bronfman & Paula B. Repetto & Nikole Guerrero & Javiera V. Castañeda & Pamela C. Cisternas, 2021. "Temporal evolution in social vulnerability to natural hazards in Chile," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1757-1784, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:107:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04657-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04657-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Nikole Guerrero & Marta Contreras & Alondra Chamorro & Carolina Martínez & Tomás Echaveguren, 2023. "Social vulnerability in Chile: challenges for multi-scale analysis and disaster risk reduction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 3067-3102, July.
    2. Feifeng Cao & Huangyuan Wang & Conglin Zhang & Weibo Kong, 2023. "Social Vulnerability Evaluation of Natural Disasters and Its Spatiotemporal Evolution in Zhejiang Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.

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